Pinnacle    +125     BET365  +125    Sportsinteraction  +125   888port  +125

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

 Las Vegas +125 over Jacksonville

4:05 PM ET. The market is asking you to lay points with a Jacksonville team that hasn’t won a football game in a month, coming off a bye, on the road, and facing a desperate opponent. We’ll pass on that and take the home dog.

The Jags opened the year looking sharp under Liam Coen, but that was before the film caught up. They’ve now dropped back-to-back games by a combined 36 points, their turnover luck has completely vanished, and Trevor Lawrence is under constant siege behind an offensive line that’s fallen apart since Week 5. The bye week was supposed to fix that, but you don’t repair protection issues and timing breakdowns with a couple extra practices.

Now they’re being asked to go west, into the noise and chaos of Allegiant, and spot a number to a Raiders squad that’s been kicked around publicly for two weeks. Perfect setup.

The Raiders’ 31-0 embarrassment to Kansas City before their bye was their rock bottom, and if Pete Carroll knows anything, it’s how to circle the wagons after humiliation. He’s had two weeks to retool an offense that was missing nearly every playmaker worth a damn. Geno Smith was throwing to spare parts before the break. Now, he gets Brock Bowers back, Michael Mayer healthy, Jakobi Meyers ready, and a familiar face in Tyler Lockett. That’s a completely different supporting cast than the one that got shut out.

We also like the emotional angle here. The Raiders are playing their first game since the passing of Carol Davis, the heart of the franchise. That may not matter to analytics guys, but it matters to locker rooms. The place will have juice.

Jacksonville, meanwhile, has been a miserable bet as road chalk. They’ve lost three straight outright in that role and now find themselves favored again in a spot that screams trap. Their defense has forced zero turnovers in the last two games after thriving early, and their offensive identity has completely evaporated — no run game, shaky blocking, and no rhythm.

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