San Francisco @ NY Giants
NY Giants +125 over San Francisco

Pinnacle    +125     BET365  +125    Sportsinteraction  +125   888port  +125

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

New York Giants +125 over San Francisco

 

MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, NJ

 

1:00 PM ET. The market is hanging a suspicious number here. The 49ers have won-and-covered the last two meetings, including a 30-12 win in 2023, and yet they’re spotting less than a field goal to a Giants team that’s 2-6. That doesn’t add up. San Francisco still carries the “brand name” tax, but the injuries, inconsistency, and declining metrics under the hood make them a fade right now.

 

Last week in Houston, the Niners had the ball for just 5:29 in the first half and ran 17 total plays over their first five possessions. That’s not bad luck — that’s a team struggling to sustain drives. Their running game, once a strength, is averaging a league-worst 3.4 yards per carry. Now they go on the road again with uncertainty at quarterback, and the market continues to treat them as if the 2022 version still exists. It doesn’t.

 

The Giants are what they are — flawed, young, and inconsistent. Yet they’ve quietly covered four of their last six as a home dog, and the line here screams value. They’ve played loose, confident football at MetLife, with rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart going 2-0 at home since taking over. The loss of rookie RB Cam Skattebo stings, but it may actually open things up offensively. Tyrone Tracy Jr. is a capable replacement, and with Skattebo out, the Giants will likely lean heavier on Dart and a passing attack that’s looked better each week.

 

Defensively, New York is a work in progress, but San Francisco’s once-fearsome unit is breaking down. The Niners couldn’t get a single sack on a Texans offense missing its top two receivers, and still gave up over 300 passing yards. Now they’re down multiple linemen again, with a laundry list of DNPs this week — yet the market shrugs and prices them like it’s business as usual. It isn’t.

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Sharkies

 

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Our Pick

NY Giants +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)

Washington +135 over Seattle
Buffalo +110 over Kansas City
Las Vegas +125 over Jacksonville
Houston -2½ -105 over Denver
Tennessee +9½ -105 over LA Chargers
Pittsburgh +155 over Indianapolis
Cincinnati +130 over Chicago
Early Leans & Analysis over