Today's Free Picks for
Pinnacle +125 BET365 +125 Sportsinteraction +125 888port +125
Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
New York Giants +125 over San Francisco
MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, NJ
1:00 PM ET. The market is hanging a suspicious number here. The 49ers have won-and-covered the last two meetings, including a 30-12 win in 2023, and yet they’re spotting less than a field goal to a Giants team that’s 2-6. That doesn’t add up. San Francisco still carries the “brand name” tax, but the injuries, inconsistency, and declining metrics under the hood make them a fade right now.
Last week in Houston, the Niners had the ball for just 5:29 in the first half and ran 17 total plays over their first five possessions. That’s not bad luck — that’s a team struggling to sustain drives. Their running game, once a strength, is averaging a league-worst 3.4 yards per carry. Now they go on the road again with uncertainty at quarterback, and the market continues to treat them as if the 2022 version still exists. It doesn’t.
The Giants are what they are — flawed, young, and inconsistent. Yet they’ve quietly covered four of their last six as a home dog, and the line here screams value. They’ve played loose, confident football at MetLife, with rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart going 2-0 at home since taking over. The loss of rookie RB Cam Skattebo stings, but it may actually open things up offensively. Tyrone Tracy Jr. is a capable replacement, and with Skattebo out, the Giants will likely lean heavier on Dart and a passing attack that’s looked better each week.
Defensively, New York is a work in progress, but San Francisco’s once-fearsome unit is breaking down. The Niners couldn’t get a single sack on a Texans offense missing its top two receivers, and still gave up over 300 passing yards. Now they’re down multiple linemen again, with a laundry list of DNPs this week — yet the market shrugs and prices them like it’s business as usual. It isn’t.
Take advantage of BET365's early MLB payout offer!
For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 5 runs ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.
Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose.
v
Our Pick
NY Giants +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)
