Today's Free Picks for
Pinnacle +9½ -105 BET365 +9½ -105 Sportsinteraction +9½ -105 888port +9½ -105
Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Tennessee +9½ over L.A. Chargers
1:00 PM ET. The Chargers are laying close to double digits on the road. Let that sink in. A team that failed to cover in both of its previous trips east, that’s been one of the league’s most inconsistent outfits for years, is suddenly being priced like a juggernaut. We couldn’t write a better “sell high” spot if we tried.
Yes, the Chargers are coming off extra rest and a 37-10 destruction of Minnesota, which is exactly why this number is inflated. They’ve become a public darling under Jim Harbaugh — physical, buttoned-up, efficient — but perception has swung way too far. For a team that has looked pedestrian outside of Los Angeles, asking them to spot this kind of lumber on the road is pure market arrogance.
Now look at Tennessee. On paper, they’re a mess — 1-7, injuries everywhere, and in “sell mode” after moving Roger McCreary. It’s ugly. However, ugly doesn’t mean hopeless. The Titans are now catching an enormous number at home against a west coast team traveling east for an early kickoff. For as bad as the Titans have looked, the Chargers aren’t built to blow anyone out. Their offensive line leaks under pressure, and they’ve allowed the eighth-most sacks in football. Tennessee’s front still brings heat, and even if Jeffery Simmons sits again, there’s enough grit in that group to make Justin Herbert uncomfortable.
Cam Ward has started to show small signs of progress. He’s beginning to stretch the field instead of settling for checkdowns, averaging nearly two yards more per attempt in recent games. That’s not nothing. The Titans’ offense is still conservative, but with some vertical pressure, they can at least stay within the number.
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Our Pick
Tennessee +9½ -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)
