About Us| Sponsors| Contact
Follow us:   Sportswagers on Twitter

Picks By League

L.A. Dodgers @ WASHINGTON - Game 1
L.A. Dodgers +115 over WASHINGTON

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle  +112 BET365  +115 SportsInteraction  +115 5DIMES  +111

Posted at 1:00 PM EST

2:05 PM EST. The Nationals might be the hottest team in the bigs, but they have had most of their games washed away this week after Tuesday's contest was delayed for rain. The wet weather wiped out the action on both Wednesday and Friday, which has created this doubleheader today. We wrote up Ross Stripling over Max Scherzer yesterday, but with Tanner Roark taking the bump in game one, it instantly becomes more appealing. Roark is 2-3 so far in 2018 with an ERA of 3.33 but that does not tell the whole story. Roak's xERA is a much less attractive 4.11 and he's seen a dip in his strikeout rate and groundball percentage. Power-pitcher, at 90 MPH, no. Roark always struggles versus lefties. Throw in hr/f volatility and hit % swings and his game-to-game profile makes him a moving target that should be avoided when he’s favored. As a dog, sure, but as the chalk against this team and pitcher, it’s a risk not worth taking.

The Dodgers have no doubt disappointed this season after making it to the World Series in 2017, but there is great opportunity here now that L.A. is an underpriced commodity. The Dodgers welcomed back Justin Turner on Wednesday night and he's the engine that really makes them hum. Yasil Puig is also back from injury and is heating up with three home runs in his last four games. Ross Stripling comes in with 31 K’s in 29 frames over 14 appearances but 11 of those 14 appearances came in relief. His last two games both came as a starter and Stripling fared well with 12 K’s in 9.1 frames combined. He threw four shutout innings in the first of those last two and was stretched out to 5.1 frames in his latest in which he allowed six hits, two earned runs, struck out seven and walked none. If all goes well, Stripling could be stretched out even further this time. Make no mistake that Stripling is a starter. He was working out of the pen because there was no room for him in the rotation with Clayton Kershaw, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Kenta Maeda, Rich Hill and Alex Wood filling the five spots. Walker Buehler also had his sights on a rotation spot. The Dodgers’ rotation was deep and thus they were forced to use Stripling out of the pen. Stripling took well to full-time bullpen work last year with a spike in whiffs that was well supported by his fastball speed and swing and miss rate of 12%. Best of all, he did that while maintaining pinpoint control and a strong groundball tilt and this year is no different, as everything in his profile whether he starts or relieves is trending the right way and his xERA of 3.69 confirms his upside. Stripling seemed destined for a late inning role but with opportunity upon him now, he, like the team he pitches for, has a new lease on life. At this price, both (the Dodgers & Stripling) are worth a play.

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

Play:


Our Pick

L.A. Dodgers +122 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)

Philadelphia @ ST. LOUIS
ST. LOUIS -1 +172 over Philadelphia

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -1½ +172 BET365 -1½ +165 SportsInteraction -1½ -1+165 5DIMES -1½ -1+165

Posted at 1:00 PM EST

2:15 PM EST. This line stinks to high heaven, as Zach Eflin comes in with a 0.71 ERA after two starts and 13 frames while John Gant has a 4.15 ERA after one start and three relief appearances. Yet, there Eflin is taking back a price today against a spot starter. This will be Eflin's third start of the season after he stuck out nine Giants in 6.2 frames to pick up his first win of the year last time out. That start actually came 12 days ago because Eflin's turn in the rotation was skipped last Sunday after he was passed over in favor of Aaron Nola to close out that series with the Mets. For a guy that has an 0.71 ERA and who was seemingly striking out every batter that stepped up to the plate, it's might seem odd that Eflin was bumped but a closer look shows his small sample size isn't nearly as impressive as it looks on the surface. Eflin's xERA is a full three runs higher than his actual ERA and his walk rate is up a couple of ticks over 2017. While his 13 K's in 12.2 innings cannot be ignored, as we mentioned above nearly 75% of those K's came against a San Francisco team that ranks fifth in the majors in whiffs.

Enter John Gant, who is making a spot start in place of the injured Carlos Martinez. Gant was a part of the Jaime Garcia trade a couple of years ago and has pitched 80 total innings in his big league career, which also includes eight starts. As a rookie in 2016, Gant struck out nearly a man an inning and made seven starts for the Braves. 2017 was a disappointment, as Gant spent most of the season in AAA, but the K's were still there after he flamed 99 batters in 103.1 innings. Gant has 11 K's in 13 innings pitched so far this season and his first pitch strike rate of 69.2% is nearly 10% higher over the last two seasons. He's a three-pitch pitcher with a 93 MPH fastball that has hit as high as 96 and it features a better than average spin rate. Gant's changeup is his best pitch, as it is able to fool lefties by dropping out of sight as it approaches the dish. He also features a loopy mid-70s curveball, which is capable of getting a tough out when he needs it. On the season, Gant is 1-1 and has started just one game. Despite appearing to be bullpen fodder and not having any market presence, Gant is probably higher priced than he should be against the Phillies and we have to wonder why with such a wide gap in pedigree and surface stats that favors the Phillies. If Eflin flames the Cards today, then so be it, but the oddsmakers have their doubts and so do we.

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

Play:


Our Pick

ST. LOUIS -1 +172 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.44)

Cleveland @ HOUSTON
Cleveland +103 over HOUSTON

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle  +103 BET365 -105 SportsInteraction  -105 5DIMES  +100

Posted at 1:00 PM EST

4:10 PM EST. Dallas Keuchel (LHP) and the Houston Astros need no introduction as the reigning World Series Champions. There is no doubt Houston is loaded with homegrown talent and they are capable of scoring runs in bunches at any time. However, you are going to pay a premium to back the Astros because they are one of the top teams in the majors. Keuchel is a former Cy Young winner with all the tools, but if we were going to nitpick, he has seen some regression early on this season. Keuchel's strikeout rate is down while is strand rate percentage is up. His groundball rate is down as well, which means his fly-ball rate has increased and he's giving up more hard-hit balls than just about ever before. All of those little things can add up, which makes Keuchel an interesting target against the underachieving/undervalued Indians.

It's not often we get to take back a price on a stud like Corey Kluber (RHP). Kluber has not allowed more than three runs in each of his nine starts on his way to posting a 6-2 record with an ERA of 2.34 and a WHIP of 0.89. The former Cy Young winner has 61 punch-outs in 65.1 frames while issuing just 10 walks and limiting opposing batters to just a .191 average. In his last three starts covering 20.1 frames, Kluber has 14 K’s and just one walk. The Indians' stock is low because they are only 1½ games up on both the Tigers and Twins for the AL Central lead when many preseason prognostications had them pegged to be the clear front-runners in that division. It has been 40 starts since the last time that Kluber was a pooch and it might be 40 more before this opportunity comes around again.

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

Play:


Our Pick

Cleveland +103 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.06)

RangeWLP+/- (Units)
Yesterday210.00+2.36
Last 30 Days38320.00+53.02
Season to Date64720.00+39.64
Sports Interaction