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CSU Northridge vs Seattle
CSU Northridge +115 over Seattle

Pinnacle +114 BET365 +115 SportsInteraction +110 5DIMES +110 Bookmaker +112

Posted at 4:35 PM EST

T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

CSU Northridge +122 over Seattle

5:00 PM EST. The Seattle Redhawks are 3-0 after wins over Portland, Division II team William Jessop and Air Force yesterday. That has the Redhawks stock fairly high for such an unknown team and we’re going to try and capitalize. 

After injuries tore the Redhawks’ 2019 season to shreds, the 2020 campaign was supposed to be a redemption tour. A 5th place finish can be dressed up as a successful year, but we’d argue Seattle had a higher gear that it just never reached. Decoding why the Redhawks never soared to expected heights is a bit complicated and probably best left alone until we target them when their stock is low. Still, the WAC is one of the worst conference and this favorite is niot projected be in the top three spots in the WAC standings, as the floor beneath this projection is held up by scotch tape and chopsticks. If one of the JUCOs (junior college) or transfers does not break out in emphatic fashion, Seattle will be lucky to stay above .500. While we remain a staunch Hayford supporter, last season was objectively a disappointment, given the experience and continuity that rolled over from the year prior. Now, the roster has been stripped to scraps, which could manifest in a blow-it-up rebuild if things go south early on. 3-0 looks nice and a win over Air Force adds to their credibility but we’re not convinced the Redhawks deserve to be favored over a Big West squad. 

Mark Gottfried’s Matadors started last year 0-7 but ended up going 15-10 the rest of the way, which included winning their final four games and six of their final eight games.  The NBA then came knocking for Lamine Diane – you know, the man good for 25 points, 10 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals, and 2 blocks a game – while the transfer tides washed away Terrell Gomez and Elijah Harkless, the Matadors 2nd and 3rd leading scorers behind Diane. Meanwhile, HC Mark Gottfried’s [apparently] been getting stiffed on settlement payments apparently owed to him by NC State. Yeah, 2020 has been tougher on some than others but Cal State should compete again with TJ Starks leading the way, The ultimate enigma, the Texas A&M castaway butted heads with two coaches in as many seasons in College Station, before ultimately bolting for the coast. Starks sat out all last year, giving him plenty of time for reflection and soul searching. Other than taking over the Round of 32 showdown against  North Carolina, Starks has been the antithesis of efficiency. An elusive slasher and tough shot maker, Starks occasionally reminds us of how talented he is and he sure does appear focused this year after two games.

Like Seattle, Cal State also played Air Force but unlike Seattle, Cal State lost by six while Seattle beat AF by 18. That’s what has caught the attention of this market but sports betting math simply does not work that way. The Big West has better quality players and while Cal State isn’t going anywhere, neither is Seattle and we’re getting a Division I team at a reduced rate to beat a team that is relying heavily on a bunch of JUCO transfers.

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Our Pick

CSU Northridge +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)

Stanford vs Alabama
Stanford +133 over Alabama

Pinnacle +133 BET365 +125 SportsInteraction +130 5DIMES +130 Bookmaker +129

Posted at 4:35 PM EST

Harrah's Cherokee Center - Asheville

Stanford +133 over Alabama

9:30 PM EST. Alabama is favored here because why? Is it because the Tide have played a game and Stanford has not? Is it because the Tide are ranked while Stanford is not? Whatever the case may be, we’re not so sure that the Crimson Tide deserve to be favored here, albeit a small one.   

What we know for sure is that ‘Bama is stacked with talent for a second straight season, but this time it’ll be without Kira Lewis, its lightning-fast point guard who opted to turn pro following the end of last year. The Tide’s offensive numbers without Lewis last season were simply abysmal. The caveat here is Lewis ranked 16th in minutes played nationally last year, meaning the sample size is very low, but it’s still a concern. 

Refusing to surrender to unsatisfactory progress and unlucky injury fortunes, HC Jerod Haase’s persistence finally paid off for Stanford last year. Stanford barged its way into the national conversation when it cracked the AP Top-25 rankings in mid-January, led by freshman revelation Tyrell Terry. A mere return to national relevancy was a milestone achievement for Haase, signaling a ‘breakthrough’ moment for a program stuck in quicksand.

For years, we’ve doubted Jerod Haase’s ability to harvest his annual crop of talent into a Pac-12 title contender. The Terry magic was a powerful potion last year, but the breakthrough doesn’t happen without steady improvement from the other key cogs in the rotation. Ziaire Williams will be the headline grabber, but sweltering defense will remain the underpinning of a potential Conference of Champions championship. Stanford might be a top-30 team this year and that’s being conservative. Yeah, it’s their first game but that’s when bargains are found.

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Our Pick

Stanford +133 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.66)

RangeWLP+/- (Units)
Yesterday200.00+4.96
Last 30 Days410.00+6.86
Season to Date410.00+6.86
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