Pinnacle    +130     BET365  +130    Sportsinteraction  +130  888port  +130

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Cincinnati +130 over Chicago

Paycor Stadium – Cincinnati, OH

1:00 PM ET. The Bears haven’t been favored on the road since Thanksgiving of 2021, and yet here we are — Chicago laying points away from home against a Bengals team that, for all its warts, has been one of the league’s better bets in its own building. That’s your first red flag.

Chicago has won three straight in this head-to-head, but those games have zero relevance now. The last time these two met, Andy Dalton and Joe Burrow were the quarterbacks. The markets are treating the Bears like a proven commodity when the truth is they’re a beat-up, mistake-prone group coming off a 30-16 loss in Baltimore where they were flagged 11 times and lost the turnover battle. Chicago leads the NFL in takeaways, yet that stat screams regression. When those turnovers dry up, so do their wins — and we’re seeing that play out.

Cincinnati, on the other hand, is coming off one of the uglier collapses of the season or maybe the decade — blowing double-digit fourth-quarter leads to the Jets at home. The reaction is predictable: the market bails, the price inflates, and everyone writes them off. That’s precisely when we get interested. The Bengals had that game wrapped up twice before everything unraveled, and now the perception is that they’re a lost cause. They’re not. They’re just underachieving.

Joe Flacco’s status looms large, but even if it’s Jake Browning, this line is still rich. The Bears aren’t built to win comfortably on the road. They rely on forcing turnovers, short fields, and keeping games in the mud. That’s not the type of profile that covers spreads, especially as a visitor.

Cincinnati’s defense isn’t healthy, but it doesn’t have to be against a Bears offense missing nearly every skill player of note. Chicago’s injury list reads like a bad joke — their entire receiving corps is limping, their starting running back sat out practice, and their D-line is missing multiple starters. This isn’t a team you lay road chalk with.

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