Minnesota @ Texas
Texas +115 over Minnesota

BET365     Sportsinteraction

Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Texas +115 over Minnesota

(RHP – Jack Leiter vs. RHP – Joe Ryan)

2:35 PM EST. Joe Ryan has been excellent this season and is a legitimate contender to start the All-Star Game. His strikeout-to-walk profile is elite, his FIP is outstanding, and his command remains among the best in the American League. There is no question that Ryan is the better statistical pitcher entering this matchup.

That reality is already reflected in the price. Jack Leiter's overall numbers remain unimpressive, but there are signs of improvement beneath the surface. His strikeout rate remains strong, his velocity is elite, and his xFIP sits well below his ERA. Leiter continues to battle command issues, but the raw stuff remains undeniable. Pitchers with his arsenal often make significant jumps once they begin refining their control.

The Rangers are being priced as though Ryan alone determines the outcome. Texas still features a dangerous lineup and possesses enough offensive firepower to support Leiter. This isn't a wager on Leiter being better than Ryan. It's a wager that the gap between the two clubs is smaller than the market suggests. At plus money, Texas is worth a look.

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Our Pick

Texas +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)

LA Angels +125 over Athletics
St. Louis +105 over Kansas City
San Francisco +130 over Atlanta
Chicago +140 over New York
New York +110 over Philadelphia
Baltimore +125 over Seattle
Cleveland +130 over Milwaukee
Toronto +110 over Boston