Pinnacle    -105   BET365  -105   Sportsinteraction   -105  888port   -105

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Baltimore -105 over Houston

1:00 PM ET. Sometimes the market loses its mind. Baltimore is catching a point this week because half the roster is banged up and Lamar Jackson won’t be playing, and that injury list is being treated like the obituary section. Suddenly, the Ravens—winners of six straight in this series, 5-1 ATS, and fresh off a 31-2 humiliation of these same Texans on Christmas Day—are being priced like they’re the ones stuck in football purgatory. This is where perception and reality collide. Baltimore’s defense has been awful through four games, bottom-ten in nearly every category, but bad defenses in September don’t necessarily stay bad once October hits. Even with the scratches, this is still an organization that drafts, develops, and competes at a level Houston has never sniffed. You want to sell Baltimore at the cheapest they’ve been in over a decade? We’ll happily buy.

Baltimore has been embarrassed two weeks in a row, capped by a blowout loss to Kansas City that has the media writing their obituary. That’s precisely the moment to pounce. Teams with Baltimore’s pedigree don’t just roll over and die after being humiliated on national television. This week is “rally time.” Every single player in that Ravens locker room knows their pride is on the line, and you’re going to get a full 60-minute effort from a roster that has been called out and questioned all week. This is a spot where toughness, culture, and organizational backbone matter—and the Ravens have all three in spades.

Houston, meanwhile, is the same clown show in a different hat. We keep hearing about how the Texans “turned the corner” in 2023. Spare us. That division title came against a schedule filled with blind squirrels and rotten acorns. They finished with a zero point differential, blew multiple fourth-quarter leads, and saw their “instant franchise QB” get sacked into a shell of himself by December. Their offensive line is a hazard to human life. C.J. Stroud spent last season running for his existence, and if you think plugging in bargain-bin linemen and promoting assistant coaches fixes that, you haven’t been paying attention. Houston has always been a franchise built on “could have” and “almost,” and nothing about this year suggests otherwise.

So let’s call this what it is: a market overreaction of the highest order. The Ravens have injuries, yes. They’ve been humiliated in back-to-back weeks, sure. But this is still Baltimore, an organization that plays with pedigree, depth, and culture that Houston can’t manufacture with all the PR in the world. This is a proud locker room, and after being dragged through the mud, they’ll bring everything they have for 60 minutes. Houston is pure garbage—always has been, always will be. When a team this fraudulent is favored over Baltimore, that’s your tell. Buy the Ravens when no one else will.

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