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Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Denver +4 over Philadelphia

1:00 PM ET. The Eagles are 4-0, but every win has been a grind. They’ve been outgained in all four games, which is a massive red flag. In fact, they join the 2012 Cardinals as the only teams in 90 years to start 4-0 while being on the wrong side of the yardage ledger each week. That Arizona team finished 5-11. It is extremely difficult to sustain that kind of profile.

Now the Eagles are laying more than a field goal in a spot where they could be looking ahead. They get the Giants on Thursday Night Football in a divisional prime-time showcase. Teams in that position are notoriously flat. Philadelphia has also been living on the margins: Jalen Hurts is their leading rusher, their defense is banged up, and they needed trick wrinkles out of the tush push just to sneak by Tampa.

Denver arrives with a defense that finally looked like the unit Sean Payton expected when he took the job. The Bengals were smothered on Monday night, and the Broncos’ pass rush was disruptive from start to finish. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix isn’t being asked to do too much, but the Broncos’ attack is balanced with J.K. Dobbins pounding between the tackles and Courtland Sutton providing a reliable outside option. This isn’t a pushover offense, and it has actually outgained Philly’s production through four games.

The Eagles haven’t put anyone away this season, and now they’re spotting more than a field goal in a scheduling trap. Denver is live to win outright, but we’ll gratefully take the points.

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