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Posted at 9:30 AM EST.

4:10 PM EST. On the surface, it appears Michael Wacha (RHP) is back in top form after taking a no-hitter into the ninth in his last outing. While he didn't get the no-no, Wacha walked away with the win and is now 7-1 with a sparkling ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.10, but all is not as neat and tidy as it seems. Wacha is striking out fewer batters this season over last, while he is also issuing more free passes. Wacha has an unthreatening first pitch-strike rate of 51.6%, which could lead to more walks down the road if there isn't an improvement in that area. Opposing hitters are are laying off his pitches outside the zone now more than ever, which is also a problem because as we mentioned, he's throwing fewer strikes than he was in 2017. All those underlying issues have his xERA much higher than his actual ERA, making his mastery so far this season mostly smoke and mirrors.

Luis Castillo’s (RHP) numbers (5.64 ERA – 1.45 WHIP) are a sharp contrast when compared to Wacha's, which has him undervalued. Castillo has nasty stuff, but a hard-luck strand percentage of 67.3 has done no favors for his surface stats. Despite a losing record (4-6), Castillo is whiffing batters left and right with 64 Ks in 67 innings. His 14.5% swinging strike rate is tops for all of today's starters. Castillo's strikeout dominance is not reflected in his surface numbers and that means he's a top caliber starter that is not getting the respect he should. Buy now before his price goes up.

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