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Posted at 9:35 PM EST. 

10:10 PM EST. Austin Bibens-Dirkx (RHP) was able to generate 17 swings and misses in his first start of 2018, which is rather significant when you consider that it came against a Royals’ lineup that has the fewest strikeouts in the league. That start resulted in a pure quality one and it’s also worth noting that it came at his difficult home venue. Based upon his history, that outing may have been a fluke, but it’s worth keeping an eye on to be sure. That said, we frankly couldn’t give a rat’s ass who the Rangers are sending out there today, as this is a straight fade against Felix Hernandez (RHP). The fact that it’s Bibens-Dirkx suits us fine, as we get an incredibly inflated price against the King.

At age 32, Felix Hernandez is finished. He’ll pitch until his contract expires or until his arm collapses (whichever comes first), but make no mistake that he’s batting practice out there. Suggesting that Hernandez is a shell of his former self now is understating it. After a promising start to the season, he now owns a mid-5s ERA, and his skills show no hope of improvement. Hernandez’s swing and miss rate is a very weak 7% but in his last start it was 1%. An everyday first baseman can top that and so too, can your mother. He comes in with an xERA of 6.33 over his last five starts with a 1.50 WHIP. With a fastball that barely tops 88 mph now, he relies on deception and experience to succeed but this is what we call a dead arm. If Felix Hernandez wins today or has success, it’ll be due to nothing but plain old good fortune. He is an absolute must fade at these ridiculous prices so plean join us and dig in.

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