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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Toronto +135 over Florida

7:00 PM EST This a strong situational angle. The Leafs played last night in Tampa, dropped a 4–2 decision, but it was a competitive, high-effort game. Now they make the short trip across Florida for the second leg of a back-to-back. Normally, bettors shy away from teams in this spot — but after a long league break, teams playing their second game back often have a rhythm edge over opponents who haven’t played in weeks. Timing, puck touches, and game-speed conditioning matter. Toronto is already recalibrated to NHL pace, while Florida is jumping back in cold.

The Florida Panthers had a significant Olympic presence, sending 10 players to represent their countries. That’s a massive emotional and physical investment. The exhilaration of Olympic competition — elimination games, national pride, media spotlight — is a peak experience. Coming back from that and immediately dialing into a regular-season NHL game is not automatic. There can absolutely be a mental and physical adjustment period, especially in the first game back. That edge favors the Leafs, who are already back in competitive mode.

And let’s not overlook the crowd dynamic. Yes, it’s a Panthers home game in Sunrise — but this is essentially a South Florida “home away from home” for Toronto. Canadian snowbirds flood that region every winter, and historically, Leafs fans take over that building. Expect a strong Toronto presence in the stands, neutralizing much of Florida’s home-ice advantage. With sharper game legs, a potential Olympic letdown on the other side, and what should feel like a split crowd at worst, Toronto plus the money offers legitimate value in a spot where the market may be overrating Florida’s rest.

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