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Updated Series Price
CAROLINA +330 over Washington

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +329 BET 365 +325 SportsInteraction +330 5DIMES +330

Posted at 2:40 PM EST. 

Series Bet

7:08 PM EST. No chance would we recommend betting Carolina spotting a price tonight because there is a better play with more upside. That better play would be Carolina to win the series @ +330 with the intent of hedging the bet should they happen to win tonight. If the ‘Canes lose tonight, one would lose the bet on them anyway had one bet them to win Game 6. If indeed it goes to Game 7, Washington will be in the -140 range and we can then choose to switch our entire bet to have Washington at roughly +175 to win Game 7. We could actually free roll on whichever side we choose for Game 7. Thus, if you are on board and Carolina does win tonight, check back before Game 7 for further instructions on how to “free-roll” for Game 7.

Incidentally, the home side is 5-0 in this series so far and while Carolina hasn’t been able to crack the Caps in Washington, they absolutely dominated them back in Carolina. No reason this one shouldn’t go to a Game 7.   

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Our Pick

CAROLINA +330 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 6.60)

NHL Playoffs - Game 6
DALLAS - +125 over Nashville

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -½ +125 BET 365 -½ +115 SportsInteraction -½ +115 5DIMES -½ +120

Posted at 2:40 PM EST. 

8:35 PM EST. Regulation only. This series is over my friends. This is not Boston going into Toronto for a do or die Game 6 or the Sharks going into Vegas for the same, no, this is a case of one very talented (and undervalued) team that has completely imposed its will against a weaker and very vulnerable team.

Dallas has swag, talent, confidence, goaltending, speed, will, defense and a great game plan while Nashville has none of the above other than some talent scattered throughout its unbalanced lineup. The media has been trying to sell how good Nashville is all season long including before the start of this series while we kept on insisting that Nashville wasn’t very good and neither was their goaltending. Some teams take time to peak and put it all together and right now, Dallas is peaking even beyond their own wildest dreams. The Stars second line is making Nashville’s top line look like kindergarten children. Last game in Nashville, in the pivotal Game 5, Dallas dominated from start to finish just like they have done in almost every period since the first game of this series. The only surprise here is not that Nashville is on the brink of elimination but that they have actually won two games of this series. This series is ending tonight and we’re not missing out.

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Our Pick

DALLAS - +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)

Updated NHL Series Price
DALLAS +105 over Nashville

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +103 BET 365 +105 SportsInteraction +105 5DIMES +105

Posted on April 15th before Game 3

Updated Series bet. 

9:40 PM EST. There is value all over the place here no matter how you play it. One could choose to play Dallas -120 to win outright tonight but we like the +105 just as much or better. The general consensus in this market is that Nashville is the superior team but there is no justification to that hypothesis whatsoever other than Nashville being a #2 seed (overall) and Dallas being a #7 seed. We cannot overstate how ridiculous that is. Did you know that Nashville beat Dallas by just seven points (100-93) in the overall standings? Did you know that Nashville had a measly four more wins than Dallas over an 82-game schedule? Did you know that Dallas had more wins and points in the second half than Nashville? In other words, the seedings mean jack but the Preds have tons more market credibility than Dallas and that opens up the door to grab the better team at a hugely deflated price. If Nashville was -165 in Nashville, shouldn’t Dallas be the same in Dallas? Of course they should be but if the books made Dallas a -165 favorite here, they would expose themselves to getting buried so they have to put out a line that will “balance the books”. We are the beneficiaries of that.

The numbers under the hood also suggest that this is one of the closest matchups in the first round but it has never been priced like it. Dallas had a clear advantage in Game 1 while Nashville responded with a slight edge in Game 2. The Series is now tied 1-1 going back to Dallas, where the Stars went 24-14-3 during the regular season. In Game 1, Dallas controlled much of the final two periods of play, scoring three unanswered goals and finishing the game with a 3-2 win. Their second power play unit was dominant, the defense limited Nashville’s chances, Ben Bishop put on a solid performance and Mats Zuccarello scored the game-winning goal. However, the Stars had to wait for the rest of the bracket to catch up so it was two days off before they would play again in Nashville and that was not to their benefit. In any case, the Stars are back home and there is nothing the Preds do that is superior to what the Stars do. Truly, this is about value and no matter how you play it, if you take Dallas, you’re 100% going with the best of it, as they should at least be the same price as Nashville was when it was at home.  

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Our Pick

DALLAS +105 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.10)

NHL Playoff Series
Toronto +125 over BOSTON

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +116 BET 365 +125 SportsInteraction  +125 5DIMES +122

NHL Series Price

Series begins Thursday, April 11th.

Posted on April 9th, before the 1st game of this series. 

7:05 PM EST. Much ado has been made about Toronto’s weak defense and how that’s a massive problem coming into this series against Boston. Then there’s Toronto’s recent playoff and regular season history against the Bruins that has this market trusting the B’s more than they trust Toronto. Coming down the stretch, specifically in the last eight weeks of the season, it’s hard to erase from one’s mind the Leafs constantly giving up five, six or seven goals in a game. Analytically speaking, at least on the defensive end, give the Bruins a big edge during the regular season also. However, to suggest or think that Toronto has no chance here is beyond ludicrous. The Maple Leafs took the Bruins to seven games last year and this year they have John Tavares and a year’s more experience. Furthermore, the Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Pastrnak line wreaked havoc on the Leafs a year ago, combining for an eye-popping 30 points in the first round and that’s extremely unlikely to happen again.

The Maple Leafs are not going to be free-wheeling it during these playoffs like they were during the regular season. This is a team that was having fun all year but there were dozens of games where they looked unbeatable. As Mike Babcock put it, “When your sweater is flapping, it feels good but it’s just not real. It is just not living in the real world. The real world is coming right away here. No time. No space”. Of course he was referring to the playoffs and we’re strongly suggesting that Toronto will be a different team this time of year this time around than they were in the last year’s playoffs or during the regular season.

We understand that the Bruins will get production from their top line. It is arguably the most dangerous line in hockey but when you throw in what that line can do defensively too, the trio is without question the best all-around line in the NHL. However, after that, production and talent drops off significantly. In terms of forward depth, give the Maple Leafs a big edge. What you are going to hear or read about most from a media that says what everyone else says is that Boston has a big edge on defense. There is no question that Toronto’s big flaw is their defense corps but frankly, Boston’s defense doesn’t scare us in the least, not for a second. Seriously, what is so good about Boston’s defense? Zdeno Chara is 42-years-old and still averages 21:05 of ice time. He’s slower and worse than ever before. Charlie McAvoy and Torey Krug are decent with Brandon Carlo rounding out the top four. Kevan Miller will miss the opening round of the playoffs because of a lower-body injury suffered in the final week of the regular season. Miller brings a level of physicality that the Bruins will miss. Boston’s D-corps has a propensity for getting lit up and is vulnerable against teams with a lot of speed. The defensive unit is often responsible for poor coverage even when it can catch opposing wingers.

From an offensive perspective, the Leafs had one of the top point-producing defenders in the league in Morgan Rielly, who had 72 points in 82 games. Acquiring Jake Muzzin from the Los Angeles Kings was a significant move, but it still didn’t fix the defensive zone issues that have plagued the Maple Leafs all season. Veteran Ron Hainsey has seen better days, but head coach Mike Babcock still likes to use the 38-year-old quite regularly (he averaged over 20 minutes per game). The good news for Toronto, is that Jake Gardiner and Travis Dermott are back from injury but perhaps most importantly is that Muzzin has his name on the cup will share his valuable experience of what it takes to get it done in the playoffs.

The media will also drill it into your head that the B’s have a big edge in goal with proven playoff performer Tuukka Rask. Rask’s playoff pedigree is that in 65 career playoff games he has a .924 save percentage to go along with a 2.25 goals-against average. Backing him up is Jaroslav Halak. We’ll give the Bruins an edge in backup goaltenders by process of elimination only. If you bet on Boston, you don’t want to see Halak. That said, nobody is immune to regression and Rask has been shaky/inconsistent all year. Rask struggled down the stretch, too, as he won just one of his last four games and allowed at least three goals or more in all three of those defeats. Rask finished the year with a 27-13-5 record with a 2.48 goals-against-average and a .912 save percentage this season. That was worse than Freddy Andersen. Andersen finished the regular season with a 36-16-7 record with a 2.77 goals-against-average and a .917 save percentage this season. Goaltending could decide this series, thus Andersen has to be as good as Boston’s duo and that’s not asking for a miracle. It’s a very reasonable assumption that he can/will be.

Finally, the media will drill it into your heads that the Bruins have a psychological edge over Toronto and a experience edge too. To that we say “FOOEY!!”. Toronto has great players. They can roll out three lines that all can score and even their fourth line can produce. They have incredible depth too. Experience? The Maple Leafs experienced losing to Washington two years ago and to Boston last year. Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, Nazem Kadri, William Nylander, et all will now play in their third straight playoff series and have the playoff experience needed to know how to win because losing did not feel good. The old adage is that you have to lose before you win and the Leafs have paid their dues. Of course the Maple Leafs will be better. John Tavares is playing for a team that can win for the first time in his career and he’ll be uber-motivated. Kadri is a great defender that doesn’t even have to score to be effective. Nylander joined the team late in the season but his game is starting to peak. Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, Zach Hyman, Patrick Marleau, Connor Brown and Kasperi Kapanen round out the deepest forward group in the NHL. There is an old hockey playoff adage that says if goaltending doesn’t decide a series, depth will and in that regard, give a big edge to Toronto. Now throw in a price on the Maple Leafs and we know exactly what to do.

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Our Pick

Toronto +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)

NHL Playoff Series
WINNIPEG +109 over St. Louis

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +109 BET 365 +105 SportsInteraction +100 5DIMES +105

NHL Series Price

Series begins Wednesday, April 10th.

Posted on April 8th, before the 1st game of this series. 

8:00 PM EST. The Blues were one of the biggest stories in the second half after they disposed of the notion that if you are out of it at Thanksgiving, you've got no shot to make the playoffs. Not only did the Blues swim all the way back into contention, but they forced the issue of who would be the Central Division champion into the final Saturday. The biggest reason for the Blue Notes turnaround was goaltender Jordan Binnington, who set a team record for wins by a rookie with 23 and had he been on the roster all season, there's an argument to be made that he would be in not only the Calder conversation, but the Vezina as well. With all the success and high praise the Blues have been getting since the calendar turned to 2019, we suspect their value is now trading at a season high. That the Blues opened this series with the Jets as the betting favorite confirms it.

The criticism of the Jets in the press has not gone unnoticed, as they have been raked over the coals for their propensity to lose games late, including a total meltdown against the Islanders on March 28. That was one of nine games the Jets had the lead in the third period and did not finish. Those losses added up in the second half, as Winnipeg went from a conference winning pace to falling to the second seed in the Central. There were reports of a players-only meeting then wunderkind Patrik Laine had his game torn to shreds after a prolonged scoring slump and a run of errors that cost his team. It’s easy to forget that the winger isn't old enough to drink a beer in the United States. Our take is that the Jets less than stellar second half was due to a combination of boredom and a rash of injuries that most notably included defensemen Dustin Byfuglien and Josh Morrissey. Head coach Paul Maurice pretty much confirmed that assumption this week, "For our team, I felt for a while, I don’t know what the exact number is, we were maybe 33-16-2 at the end of January, we had a pretty good idea we were making the playoffs. We hit a really heavy grind here, lost some key guys, and some of the fun of it, I think, came out of it for us." Big Buff is back and he led to Jets to a 2-1-1 road trip to finish the season. Winnipeg went to the Western Conference Finals last season and the Jets were dominant in the first two rounds disposing of Minnesota and Nashville respectively before running into Vegas and a hot Marc Andre Fleury between the pipes. For all of the accolades that Binnington has racked up in the second half, Connor Hellebuyck is playing his best hockey of the year. The Jets, too, have picked up the pace despite the insults being hurled their way after outshooting their opposition in three of their last four games.

During the regular season, the Jets won the series 3-1, but if you believe Maurice, these are not the same Blues, "We’ve never played THAT team. Right? When we played them in 2018, they were a different team." The market is volatile and when Winnipeg and St. Louis played in the Manitoba capital in December, the Blues were a +180 pooch. Hell, when the Jets visited St. Louis in October, they were -154 road chalk. Now, in Game 1, the Jets are being offered at a much cheaper price and they are the dog in this series despite owning home ice. How can that be? We also have to wonder what this price would have been if this series had been played a month or two ago. The Blues Note would have no doubt been the dog. Man for man, the Jets are tough to beat in every department. They run four lines deep and are now finally healthy on the blueline with Morrissey returning to practice this week. Hellebuyck has proven he can play when the games really start to matter, while Binnington is the great unknown on this bright stage. The Jets are being sold short here based on the perception that they are not playing well, but that could not be further from the truth. Meanwhile, the Blues are being touted in the press as the team nobody wants to play because they are peaking at the right time. That's nonsense. St. Louis, with many of the same players have been an easy out in the playoffs for years. The real season starts now and the Jets are a trusted commodity that should return a profit.

Open an account today at and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

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Our Pick

WINNIPEG +109 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.18)

NHL Playoff Series
Carolina +135 over WASHINGTON

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +123 BET 365 +135 SportsInteraction +145 5DIMES  +133

NHL Series Price

Series begins Thursday, April 11th.

Posted on April 9th, before the 1st game of this series.

7:35 PM EST. When breaking down this Capitals team, it's hard to get a grip on what they are truly good at, as they are a middle of the road squad when it comes to Corsi For % (18th) and it's a rare the night when they actually outplay the opposition. What Washington does best is get the bounces. The Capitals have significantly benefited from a league-best shooting percentage, as they were tops in PDO, which uses shooting percentage plus save percentage to measure "puck luck." The reality is the Caps are keeping company with many non-playoff teams like Arizona, Chicago, New York and Edmonton when it comes to puck possession and time spent in their own end. To give you an idea of just how fortunate Washington has been, the Caps are ranked 25th in xGF%, which suggests that the shots they take are not of high quality. Washington ranks just 23rd in High Danger Scoring Chances For (HDCF). When you look at the goods under the hood, the Capitals do not compare to the Hurricanes in any way, as Carolina is an analytics darling. Washington’s power-play ranked 10th in the NHL this year so we suppose they’re good in that department. It’s also possible that the Caps kinda breezed through the regular season and their analytics mean little. That may be true but there is still a concern about just how physically taxing it can be to go through the NHL playoffs twice in a row.

In net, Braden Holtby battled through his second straight subpar regular season, though he turned it on in the playoffs last year and guided his team to glory. Does that switch get flicked once again? If it doesn’t, can backup Pheonix Copley save the day? If Washington wins this series, it’ll likely be because Holtby plays great and Carolina’s duo does not.  

The 'Canes are not booking tee times in April for the first time in nine seasons and they deserve everything that they have taken this year after finishing the season ablaze. Since January, Carolina is 30-11-2 and they scored 149 goals, while only allowing 110 on the other end. That compares to what Tampa Bay did. The play of goalie Petr Mrazek helped to guide the 'Canes, as he posted a .921 save percentage in the calendar year of 2019. In 2018, Mrazek’s save percentage was just .908, once again proving that if you get good goaltending, the wins will come. The Hurricanes led the league in High Danger Scoring Chances, which is bad news for the Capitals, because, as mentioned above, they allow more high danger scoring chances than anyone else in the NHL. The 'Canes are a true threat, but they do not have the market stature that Washington does. That's our cue to step in. We have not seen one publication or media outlet play the Caps. In hockey drafts all across Canada, Capitals’ players are going before Hurricanes’. You can get some top Carolina players in the last two rounds of your playoff draft. Why? Because few watch ort pay attention to the ‘Canes. The Blues are favored over Winnipeg for f**k sake yet Carolina matched what St. Louis did in the second half.

On the ice and under the hood, the Hurricanes are superior in every way, especially defensively. Carolina will not be outclassed, it will not be intimidated and it will not be outplayed. Washington swept the Hurricanes during the regular season, which is another media selling point but one game went to OT and two others were decided by one goal (one of those was an empty netter added) thus, Carolina could just as easily been 3-1 against the Caps this year.

If one is giving Washington credit for a good power-play, one has to discredit them for a  pedestrian penalty-killing unit. The Caps were also horrible on faceoffs. In fact, the Caps are the worst team in the league when it comes to draws, which leads to puck possession. Jay Beagle’s departure stings in that department.  In the end, one would be hard-pressed to find a more modern team than the Hurricanes right now. Carolina is the best possession squad in the league and the defense is great at moving the puck and keeping it away from its own net. That this is the biggest overlay in the first round guarantees nothing other than we’re making the prudent choice here in a series in which our side holds all the value. We fully expect to cash this ticket and ot's also worth noting that Pinnacle Sports, the sharpest book in the industry is encouraging or welcoming all Washinton money, as they have the Caps a lot cheaper than everyone else.

Open an account today at and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

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Our Pick

Carolina +135 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.70)

NHL Playoff Series
Vegas +102 over SAN JOSE

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +102 BET 365 -110 SportsInteraction  -110 5DIMES -110

NHL Series Price

Series begins Wednesday, April 10th.

Posted on April 8th, before the 1st game of this series. 

10:35 PM EST. The Sharks are a great team, make no mistake about that, as they led the NHL in Corsi For % and that alone makes them a tough out. In fact, if they weren’t so dominating on the puck, they would have lost far more games than they won this season and therefore would’ve been watching this opening round from the rails. The problem with the Sharks, and it’s a massive one, is that their goaltending cannot stand up in a seven game series against a team that possesses the puck almost as much as they do. When this series ends, Martin Jones will not be the goaltender skating off in defeat, as he will 100% be replaced by Aaron Dell at some point.

In 28 of the 59 games that Jones appeared in, his save percentage was below .880. He had five games in which his save percentage was .700 (!) or worse. Jones posted save percentages of .864, .885, .815, .850, .727, .897 and .853 in seven of his last nine games and he had similar stretches throughout the entire year. Jones is the absolute worst goaltender in the game and is the reason that the Knights offer up such great value here but there’s more.

Vegas was also an analytical beast this year, ranking highly in all key possession metrics, which includes ranking third in Corsi For % during five-on-five play. The Knights also ranked second in the league in Expected Goals For Per 60 (xGF/60), thus Martin Jones is going to have to come up with too many big saves for the Sharks to advance. That is seriously not happening. On March 30th, the Sharks went into San Jose in a horrible scheduling spot (playing back-to-back, third game in four nights, fourth game in six nights and sixth game in nine nights) and lost 4-3 in OT. Rested and in a better spot just 12 days earlier, also in San Jose on March 18th, the Knights went into the Shark Tank and buried the Sharks, 7-3. The Knights are the most balanced and dominating team in the West and we’re suggesting that the Sharks do not have the goaltending to back up their otherwise strong play. That’s what’s going to cost the Sharks this series and prompts us to move in hard. Incidentally, Marc Andre Fleury is ready to go.

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Our Pick

Vegas +102 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)

NHL Playoff Series
Dallas +165 over NASHVILLE

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +163 BET 365 +165 SportsInteraction  +165 5DIMES  +165

NHL Series Price

Series begins Wednesday, April 10th.

Posted on April 8th, before the 1st game of this series. 

9:30 PM EST. Buried on one of the alternate networks the NHL uses for opening rounds they think no one wants to watch, the Dallas Stars will begin their first round series against the Nashville Predators on Wednesday and this is without question the biggest overlay in the first round. Dallas has a great chance to win this series for so many reasons. This isn't likely to be a sexy, high scoring series but it probably will showcase the best collection of defensemen of any series.

Nashville boasts the foursome of Ryan Ellis, Mattias Ekholm, Roman Josi, and PK Subban. Collectively they do everything exceptionally well except defend their own blueline. In fact, it may surprise you to learn that during five-on-five play, Nashville finished 17th in the league in High Danger Scoring Chances Against. Defensively, Subban is a massive liability. Offensively, the Stars are every bit the Preds equal and the proof is in the pudding. In Scoring Chances For % (SCF%), Dallas and Nashville ranked 14th and 15th in the NHL this year with almost an identical 51% mark meaning they both created as many scoring chances as they allowed. Offensively, give zero advantage to the Preds and it’s absolutely worth noting that a healthy and unleashed Mats Zuccarello gives the Stars a very underrated offensive attack.

Defensively, we also give an edge to the Stars underrated group. Esa Lindell is one of the better blueline defenders in the league and his complete lack of underlying offense probably has more to do with the fact that the Stars use him as a defensive caddy for John Klingberg. Offensively on the blueline, we’d take Klingberg 100% of the time over any of Nashville’s four. Then there’s Miro Heiskanen, who can play at both ends of the ice at a high level and that is a future all-star to be sure. Offensively, the Stars can match the Preds with two great lines and if Jamie Benn can catch fire or even produce at a more Benn-like rate, it’s going to make that Stars offense even more dangerous.

Then, of course there is the goaltending battle, which is more than likely going to be the deciding factor in this series. In that regard, we’re thrilled, as we are not coming off our position that Pekka Rinne is a liability. Rinne finished the year with a .918 save percentage. That’s not bad at all but what that doesn’t reveal is that in 20 of the 51 games he played, his save percentage was under .885. Try and find another playoff goalie that has had so many bad games this year and you’ll only find one other (Martin Jones). Rinne has great games because he’s so big and his positioning is strong but he’s so beatable and allows more soft goals than most goaltenders, which is why he gets yanked as frequently as he does. This market thinks he’s the best because the media salivates over him but we’re strongly suggesting that he’s the second best starting goaltender on the team and in this series.

Enter Ben Bishop. Bishop stopped all 24 shots he faced in Saturday's 3-0 win over the Minnesota. It was another great performance for Bishop who has really upped his game over the final stretch of the season. He has recorded six shutouts in his last 15 games, finishing the season with a 1.98 goals-against-average and a franchise record .934 save percentage. Ben Bishop is the hottest goaltender in the game right now and from where we sit, Nashville has no advantages in this series other than playoff experience. What the Preds do have is a boatload more market credibility and presence and for that, you will pay a massive premium to get behind them in this series. Huge overlay and one we expect to cash in on.

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Our Pick

Dallas +165 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.30)

RangeWLP+/- (Units)
Yesterday000.000.00
Last 30 Days13220.00-10.42
Season to Date1442170.00-63.97
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