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NHL Series Update
BOSTON -167 over Toronto

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -167 BET365 -170 SportsInteraction -160 5DIMES -165

Posted on Wednesday April 25 before Game 7

7:40 PM EST. This wager is strictly a hedge or a buy-out for three wagers we made earlier in this series and we’ll give you the other options as well. We already have three bets on the Maple Leafs and they are as follows:

2 units at +420 = +8.40 units

2 units at +264 = +5.28 units

2 units at +127 = +2.54 units

We therefore stand to win 16.22 units on the Maple Leafs should they win but we would lose 6 full units on Toronto, should the Bruins win. With the Bruins being a -167 favorite, we are going to risk 10.02 units on the Bruins to win 6 units (our liability on Toronto) and FREE ROLL on Toronto for 6.2 units. That’s our bet. We’ll be free-rolling for 6.2 units here.

You can choose to go another way if you like if you have been on board with these wagers.

The other option would be to “flip” the entire bet and therefore that would entail wagering 16.22 units on Boston to win 9.71 units. That creates a FREE ROLL of 3.71 units on the Bruins (9.71 units - 6 units). If Toronto wins, you would win 16.22 units, which is what you would lose on your Boston bet and therefore break even on that wager.

If you do not have a wager on the series and are looking to wager on tonight’s game, we have to recommend the Maple Leafs based on the price alone, as Toronto is very capable here. The Maple Leafs have not played their best hockey but now all the pressure shifts to the B’s and Tuukka Rask, who for the most part has looked shaky the past few games.

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

Play:


Our Pick

BOSTON -167 (Risking 10.02 units - To Win: 6.00)

Updated NHL Series pick
Toronto +420 over BOSTON

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +420 BET365 +375 SportsInteraction +350 5DIMES +370

Posted on Monday April 23 before Game 6

Updated series pick – Toronto +420 over BOSTON

7:05 PM EST. We are going to approach the two Game 6’s tonight in the same manner. We are already invested in both series, but value is value and so we’re going back to the well again. Both Toronto and Columbus are at home and both games are evenly priced. Therefore instead of betting the Leafs (+108) and Jackets (-110) respectively to win tonight, we’ll play them in the series, which will give us options for game 7 should one or both win tonight.

Thus, instead of betting Toronto for 2 units to win 2.16 units, we’ll wager on Toronto +420 in the series with a chance to win 8.4 units. If Toronto loses tonight we’ll lose two units no matter what but if they win, we can buy back Boston at the anticipated price of -160 in Game 7 and FREE ROLL on Toronto, or we can also flip the entire bet and FREE ROLL on Boston or FREE ROLL on a -160 (or thereabouts) favorite. In other words, +840 – 320 would be a 5 unit FREE Roll on Toronto for Game 7 and similar numbers apply to Columbus. If you were thinking of betting Toronto tonight, this wager is the more prudent one.  

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

Play:


Our Pick

Toronto +420 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 8.40)

updated NHL Series pick
Toronto +264 over BOSTON

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +214 BET365 +210 SportsInteraction +210 5DIMES +212

Posted on Saturday April 14 before Game 2

Updated series pick – Toronto +264 over BOSTON

7:00 PM EST. Two big reasons the Bruins rolled in Game 1 were the fact they had the superior goaltending and the better special teams. That is a very tough combination to beat. Boston looked pretty much unstoppable, but three of their goals all came on the powerplay. The Bruins also benefitted greatly on their first goal, as the Leafs failed to challenge what appeared to be a clear offsides on the Bs. That powerplay goal set the tone for the entire game. If that marker was overturned, it could have been a much different evening for all involved.

The suspension to Nazem Kadri looms large over the Leafs, as they try to get back into this series after a 5-1 loss in Boston on Thursday night. On paper, Toronto was dominated in time of possession and by the time Kadri's attempted murder of Tommy Wingels came in the third period the train was off the tracks. The Leafs will have to do some line juggling in Kadri's absence. Leo Komorov skated on the top line with Auston Matthews and William Nylander, while Zach Hyman moved down to Kadri's spot with Mich Marner and  Patrick Marleau with the latter moving to center from the wing. With Kadri's 32-goals out of the lineup and a lopsided decision in Game 1, the Leafs are going to be a tough bet for many, but we are going to come right back on them tonight. However, rather than take the +152 being offered here we will make another series bet on the Maple Leafs at +264, so even if they lose today, we'll still have the safety net of two games in Toronto to get back to even. 

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

Play:


Our Pick

Toronto +264 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 5.28)

NHL Series pick
Toronto +127 over BOSTON

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +127 BET365 +125 SportsInteraction +125 5DIMES +125

Posted on Wednesday April 11 before Game 1

Toronto +127 over BOSTON

Series pick – Begins Thursday, April 12

7:05 PM EST. The Boston Bruins are a very good team with great goaltending that came within a fraction of having the best record in the East. A series win over the Maple Leafs would surprise nobody but we’ll leave the predictions to everyone else. We are in the value business and frankly, other than experience with veterans like Patrice Bergeron, David Krejci, Zdeno Chara, and even Rick Nash, we do not see where the Bruins have an edge. Boston stumbled into the playoffs by going 5-5 over their last 10 games while allowing the games’ first goal in the last seven. A bunch of media guys suggested that playing nine games in 15 days contributed to the B’s struggles in late March and early April but now combine that with playing every other day in the grueling playoffs and it gets even tougher. While the B’s do a lot of things well, their bottom six does not compare to Toronto’s bottom six. The Maple Leafs are deeper, quicker, younger and we still haven’t seen the best that they have to offer.

The Maple Leafs are 100% at full health coming into the playoffs. While we love Bergeron as much as the next guy, Toronto will feature the best player on the ice in this series and the best line that will play 18 minutes or so a night. Boston has to worry about four lines, not just the Matthews/Nylander/Hyman line. Let us remind you that Auston Matthews missed 25% of the season and has looked like the NHL’s best player since returning. Tomas Plakanec, easily the best fourth line center in the NHL, will be a factor in this series. Mike Babcock, Lou Lamoriello and Brendan Shanahan have more than proven that each move is carefully calculated. Plakanec was brought in for the playoffs. Kasperi Kapanen played less than half a season and so did Travis Dermott. Auston Matthews, Travis Dermott, Tomas Plekanec, Ron Hainsey and Kasperi Kapanen have suited up in the same game just four times this season and Toronto went 3-1 in those games, which included a 5-2 win in Nashville with only loss occurring against the Winnipeg Jets. The Leafs didn’t dress their best lineup until late March and it is now intact here. Maybe Boston has an edge in net with Tuukka Rask over Frederik Andersen but that’s not a given either, as Anderson ranked 12th in GSAA while Rask ranked 19th. Andersen also had a better save % and GAA than Rask as well. Finally, there is Mike Babcock, who is the best coach in the business and has the Maple Leafs on the same path he had the Red Wings on many years ago before they became a dynasty. There is a reason Toronto has defeated Boston in seven of the last eight games and it’s not because the B’s are the superior team. Toronto will dispose of Boston and then make easier work of the hugely overrated Lightning providing Tampa gets by New Jersey. The Maple Leafs have arrived and do not let anyone convince you that they are still a year away because of their suspect defense. Babcock knows precisely what he’s doing and you are absolutely going to see that defense tighten up to a high degree. Before this season began, the Boston Bruins were an afterthought. They’ll be an afterthought after the first round too and will pay a hefty price for not beating the Panthers last Sunday.

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

Play:


Our Pick

Toronto +127 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.54)

RangeWLP+/- (Units)
Yesterday000.000.00
Last 30 Days18210.00+4.30
Season to Date1752170.00+2.89
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