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Posted at 11:30AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Ottawa +130 over Colorado

7:30PM EST Ottawa steps into this matchup as a clear underdog, but that’s exactly where the value lives tonight. The Senators have been far more competitive than their record suggests, especially at home, where their offensive pace and willingness to trade chances keep them live against stronger opponents. Colorado’s blowout win in the earlier meeting will heavily influence perception, yet those types of results often inflate the rematch price beyond what the current form justifies. With Ottawa averaging nearly four goals per game over its last ten, they’re capable of turning this into the kind of high-event game that neutralizes a talent gap.

Colorado remains one of the league’s most dangerous teams, but they haven’t been immune to inconsistency, particularly during stretches of heavy travel. After snapping out of a rough homestand, the Avalanche now head deeper into a road trip, where focus and defensive structure can waver. Even with elite top-end firepower, their recent results suggest they’re not operating at peak efficiency every night, and that opens the door for an opponent willing to push the tempo and play without fear.

From a betting perspective, Ottawa’s price reflects reputation more than matchup dynamics. The Senators don’t need to dominate possession or win the shot battle—they need timely scoring, energy at home, and a goaltending performance that keeps things within reach early. In a game projected to feature plenty of offense and momentum swings, taking Ottawa to win outright offers strong value, especially with the market heavily tilted toward Colorado after the last lopsided meeting.

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