Today's Free Picks for
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Odds posted at 3:00 PM EST and are subject to change.
N.Y. Rangers -1.5 +210 over Pittsburgh
7:00 PM EST. OT . We’re going to make this one short and sweet. How can the Rangers, after getting beat 7-4 last time out in a game that was priced as a coin flip, open as the betting favorite in Pittsburgh in Game 4? Just let that soak in for a minute. Marinate it. Smoke it if you so choose. We’ll wait.
Big red flag, right? We could break down the X’s and O’s, pour over the analytics, dig through the local papers and stalk the beat reporters on Twitter, but that is not going to be necessary. More often than not, the price is going to dictate the play. That has to be the case here. If we rip up this ticket, so be it, but we trust that the oddsmakers knew what they were doing when they posted this price.
One could play the Rangers -115 if one so chooses. One could also play the Rangers to win inside of regulation at a nice price of about +140 depending on where you shop, but to cash that ticket, one will need the Rags to be up late in the third period. If they are, the Penguins are going to pull their goalie, leaving what could be plenty of time for an empty netter.
It’s with that in mind that we are going to wager on the Rangers to go for the kill. Hell, maybe they’ll be up a few after 40 minutes and the empty net won’t even be a consideration. We acknowledge that while we still have the Rangers to win this series +141, there is too much value here to be left on the table. This line is screaming at us from the Steel City. We must act accordingly. Rangers roll.
N.Y. Rangers -1½ +210 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.20)