Pinnacle -½ +119 Bet365 -½ +105 SportsInteraction N/A 5DIMES -½ +115 888Sport -½ +132

Posted at 1:35 PM EST.  

FLORIDA -½ +113 over Colorado

7:05 PM EST. Regulation only. Colorado is 5-0-1. They have picked up 11 out of a possible 12 points to start the year and there is no question that it improved but everything in the NHL that has happened up to this point is a tiny sample size. Colorado is better than they were last year but they are not as good as its record suggests. The Avs have been outshot and outchanced in four straight games. In a 4-2 win over Minnesota prior to those four games, they barely outchanced the Wild with the shots on net being dead even. The Avalanche are dominating in win column but they are not dominating in their performances. In fact, Colorado ranks 19th in puck possession numbers. 

The Florida Panthers are the polar opposite of the Avs. Florida has two wins in six games but one would be hard pressed to find a team that has dominated more thoroughly than the Panthers. Shift after shift, period after period and game after game, the Panthers are spending more time in the opposition’s end than any other team in the NHL. The only reason that the Panthers are 2-4 and not 6-0 is because Segei Bobrovsky has been horrible with a save percentage of .870. We have no idea what’s going to happen here, as Bob could have another horrible game and cost the Panthers another win on top of the 10M they’re paying him. However, we have enough information to reasonably assume that the Panthers are going to outchance, out-possess and outshoot the Avs. Furthermore, because they’re 2-4, we get the Panthers at a reduced rate and that makes them especially worthy of getting behind.

Note -- the bad line used by 888sport if you have an account there.

For record keeping purposes, we always use Pinnacle or Bet365 lines because most people have two accounts but of course, I'm personally betting this one at 888sport.

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