Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 3:00 PM EST.
8:05 PM EST. Regulation only. We absolutely love that the Preds are turning to Juuse Saros today over Pekka Rinne other this this wager would not have made our board. Saros stopped all 13 shots that he faced after replacing Pekka Rinne in the Predators loss in Carolina on Sunday. Saros has been excellent in his last five outings (three starts, two relief) going 3-0-0 with a 0.71 GAA, .975 SV% and one shutout. Additionally, he has a 2.17 GAA, .927 SV% and one shutout in six games on home-ice this season. The Preds are a possession monster that are getting healthy again and now the fade on these fraudulent Caps will continue.
Washington ranks 24th in puck possession numbers through the first 45 games. They rank 28th in High Danger Chances for % (HDCF%), which puts them below the Canucks, Sabres, Oilers and Panthers. Washington continues to bury goals at such an unreasonable rate that a massive correction is inevitable. The Caps are a ridiculous 27-13-5 for a team that gets dominated so often. See that 4-2 Caps win over Boston on Thursday of last week? Caps were outshot 41-22 and had the worst Corsi For % of the night among all 24 teams that played. The game before that? Same thing against Philadelphia in a 5-3 win. In that game, Caps were outshot 40-25, lost the puck possession battle and were out-chanced too. The list goes on and on regarding games this season in which the Caps get badly outplayed, spend most of the game in their own end and win going away. That’s been their model for success and it may continue tonight but chances are better that the Caps get dominated again and lose again like they did last night when the Blue Notes went into the Verizon Center and dominated them in a 4-1 victory.
NASHVILLE -½ +105 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)