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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Denver -6½ -110 over Green Bay

9:00 PM EST. We are going to lay the points with Denver tonight, and this is a spot where we trust the home-field situation is worth more than it normally is during the preseason. Playing at altitude presents a completely different challenge, particularly as the game moves along and players begin to tire. Denver is comfortable in those conditions, while Green Bay is being asked to handle an environment that can become increasingly difficult as the night progresses.

We also like the way Denver is approaching this game. There is still plenty to accomplish during the preseason, and the Broncos have legitimate competition throughout the roster. That creates the type of urgency we want to see from a favorite laying a small number. Denver's coaching staff has an opportunity to put its players through a meaningful test, and we expect the Broncos to treat this as more than simply another exhibition game.

Green Bay will certainly be looking for a better performance, but that does not automatically make the Packers the side we want. The market is likely to put plenty of weight on their previous outing, yet preseason results can be misleading. We would rather focus on the environment, preparation and the advantages Denver has at home. As this game develops, we expect the Broncos to become more comfortable while the altitude becomes an increasingly difficult factor for Green Bay.

Denver is our play tonight, laying points at home. We are not asking the Broncos to dominate; we simply need them to play the more complete game and take care of business in their own building. The altitude, home environment and competitive situation all point in the same direction, and we trust Denver to win this game by a touch down to cover the number.

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