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Posted Saturday at 1 PM EST. Odds are subject to change.

L.A. Rams +125 over Seattle

6:30 PM EST. Seattle just put on a prime-time demolition and now the market has crowned them unbeatable, unstoppable, and apparently immune to regression. That’s usually the exact moment you start looking the other way. The Seahawks ran over San Francisco last week, the highlights looped for seven straight days, and bettors lined up to overpay like it was Black Friday. Oddsmakers didn’t go all the way to –3 for a reason — and that reason is value sitting quietly on the Rams’ side of the counter.

The Rams didn’t arrive here with fireworks, and that’s exactly why they’re being discounted. Two playoff wins by three points doesn’t excite the public, but it should excite bettors. Los Angeles did what playoff teams are supposed to do: survive, advance, and avoid mistakes. Meanwhile, Seattle’s blowout came against a San Francisco team held together with duct tape and a medical staff working overtime. Margin of victory has become the market’s favorite stat, even though it tells you almost nothing about what’s coming next.

Here’s the real separator: game script. If Seattle falls behind — and that’s a very real possibility — the burden shifts squarely onto Sam Darnold, and that’s not where you want to live. He’s nursing an oblique injury, and even at full strength, asking him to throw all over the field in a playoff game is a dicey proposition. Catch-up mode turns Seattle from bully to brittle in a hurry. The Rams, by contrast, are built to dictate terms, not chase them.

This is not a “cute underdog” play or a hedge-your-feelings bet. This is a strong conviction moneyline position. The Rams are better coached, more stable offensively, and far less dependent on everything going perfectly. Seattle is being priced off one loud performance; the Rams are being priced off perception. That gap is where sharp money lives.

Rams +125. Better team. Better price. Take it.

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