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Posted at 11:30 AM EST. 

NEW YORK GIANTS +6½ -105 over Green Bay

1:00 PM EST. There are some individuals who offer “free picks” that feature “expert advice” into some of the match-ups on the Sunday plate. One of the games focused upon by said individuals was this contest. Mirroring the public sentiment to jump all over Green Bay, said handicapper advised the masses to play Green Bay at -6 and drink some juice while they are at it to buy off the half-point. Out of the gate this is a bad practice and it also shows a true lack of confidence in the Packers. Laying extra juice also plays into the house advantage and now this fool is going to sell very low on the Giants to boot. Despite the Giants bad form, they are positioned at an infamous underdog-friendly number that is associated with outright upsets.

Nevertheless, the query will remain: why should the G-Men even show up for this game when they have nothing to play for? Moreover, why should anyone back a team that has lost seven straight? When you fuse these questions with narratives such as the Giants covering just once on their own pitch this season and the Packers “needing” the win to bounce-back from last week’s debacle in the Bay City, Green Bay seems like the obvious pick, right? Wrong. If anything, all of these trends and narratives bolster the value of the home team. As proponents of finding value, we reiterate that the “must-win” angle is a sure-fire approach to a ripped up ticket. Every game is a must-win and we are not so sure that the Giants are keen to throw in the towel just yet. You see, four of Big Blue’s previous five losses were settled by a touchdown or less. Had a few bounces gone in New York’s way, perhaps we would be talking about a 6-5 Giants team still in the playoff conversation. Unfortunately, in-game variance has been cruel to the Giants but if there is anyone looking to “right the ship” here, it’s the G-Men. A win over a reputable opponent such as the Packers will be just as important for the New York Football Giants as anything, as it will signal to its supporters that this franchise is on the way back up and that the best days of the Daniel Jones era are yet to come. Maybe Green Bay was exposed for what they truly are last week and now it’s the Giants turn to expose them even more. Grab the points.

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