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Posted Friday, October 18 at 12:30 PM EST

NFL 2019

Week 7

What you see below is our early leans. Many of the selections below will stay the same and some will be moved into official plays with wagers on Sunday. However, there is also the possibility that we see, read or get a sense that something is not right with one of our selections and change our pick. There are several different criterion we use to grade a game and make it an official play and a lot of things can happen or change between Friday and Sunday.

We’re intent on providing our readers with the best possible selections and doing so on Sunday instead of Friday just makes more sense. We made that change last year and ended up going 81-57. Again, we’ll have all write-ups (except Monday Night Football) posted on Friday but our actual wagers won’t be posted until Sunday morning between 10 AM and 12:00 PM EST.

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DETROIT + 2 -110 over Minnesota

1:00 PM EST. Kirk Cousins has had back-to-back big weeks against the Giants and Eagles, respectively, but we fully expect the clock to strike midnight here with a division matchup in Detroit. Remember three weeks ago when Cousins was getting roasted after pitiful outings against the Packers and Bears in Weeks 2 and 4 respectively? Dropping that 16-6 decision in Chicago was particularly ugly and led to Cousins publicly apologizing to wide receiver Adam Thielen on the quarterback's radio show. At that time the Vikes were 2-2 and their stock was plummeting. That was the time to buy. Now after back-to-back 18-point wins over those NFC East foes, the Vikings stock is rising faster than it should be. However, when there are stakes of any kind, Cousins is at his worst. There is going to be a two game run here where Cousins is going to be on our fade list. You see, the Vikings are also in a lookahead spot, as they host the Redskins on Thursday Night Football next week. Teams that play on upcoming Thursday nights have struggled this season. Just look at last Sunday when the Chiefs lost outright as the betting chalk. The Giants got trounced by these Vikings before their TNF contest in New England. The Rams dropped that shocker to the Buccaneers in Week 4, the Titans and Jaguars both lost ahead of their Thursday nighter in Week 3 and the Panthers and Bucs both went down in Week 1 ahead of their Week 2 meeting on a short week. The point is, every week, somebody no shows ahead of Thursday Night Football. We would not be shocked if that same fate fell on Minnesota.

The Lions got jobbed out hard on Monday Night Football and by all rights should have left Lambeau Field with the victory. Instead, a group of officials that aren't fit to manage a Footlocker declawed Detroit's defensive attack. The Lions had the Packers dead to rights and headed off the field after a third down stop before the flag happy fools in stripes nailed defensive end Trey Flowers with a “hands to the face” penalty”, thus giving the Packers an extra set of downs. Replays showed that it was a textbook battle in the trenches and Flowers clearly had his man by the chest. His sack was negated and the Pack would march on. The Lion's misfortune continued when an Aaron Rodgers' laser to Allen Lazard would go for a touchdown cutting the Lions the lead to two. The final blow was another bad call on Flowers that allowed the Packers to drain the clock and kick a game winning field goal with 0:00 on the scoreboard. Incidentally, Flowers had never been called for a hands to the face penalty in his career. Never. The Lions are just 2-2-1, but they could very easily be 5-0 after blowing a 24-6 fourth quarter lead in Arizona in Week 1 and having to settle for a tie. In their other defeat, the Lions were also tough luck losers to the Chiefs in a game they should have won handily. There might not be a more undervalued side in the league than these Motor City Lions and we absolutely love them in this spot.

Jacksonville -3½ -110 over CINCINNATI

1:00 PM EST. Spotting points on the road with a team like the Jaguars is not going to be a very appealing proposition in this market. We write about "bad favorites" all the time and on the surface, it appears Jacksonville fits the bill. Through the first five weeks, the Jags were a pooch, including a home game in Week 3 against the Titans. At home to New Orleans last week, Jacksonville was priced in almost the same range as it is here. Last week in our Friday recommendations, we were on the Jags but switched gears on Sunday morning. A big reason why we switched to locking in our picks Sunday rather than Friday was because we value late line movement. When money poured in on Jacksonville Sunday morning it made us very uncomfortable with our choice. However, we were able to audible off of them and on to the Saints, which was a money making play. The Jaguars are in a prime position for what we call a "zig-zag" situation as the many that bet them last week are going to have a hard time backing them again after getting burned. That's our cue to jump back on board, as the Jaguars are severely undervalued in Week 7. Cincinnati is 0-6 in the standings, but does anyone that bets this sport really care about that? Of course not. What’s more important is that the Bengals are 3-3 against the spread and have covered against Seattle, Buffalo and most recently Baltimore. Indeed the Bengals covered against Baltimore and that nice six-point loss combined with the other aforementioned “good losses” provides us with an opportunity here to play the chalk at a reduced rate when their bandwagon is emptying.

The Bengals most recent cover was a flattering cover. Cinci started the game off with a bang by taking back the opening kickoff to the house for a 7-0 lead. That would be the last touchdown the Bengals would score until Andy Dalton's two yard scamper with just under 1:30 to go in the fourth to bring the Bungles within single digits for the first time in the fourth quarter. The Bengals might look primed to get off the bench here, but when you are losing, it's had to get that ball rolling. Cincinnati arguably peaked with a 21-20 loss in Seattle in Week 1, as they've looked like total garbage since. Blowout losses to the 49ers and Roethlisberger-less Steelers are coupled with losses to Buffalo and Arizona. That 26-23 home loss to the Cardinals was also much worse than the final score would have you believe, as the Red Birds were up 23-9 with seven minutes to go in the game before giving it all back and relying on a 31 yard Zane Gonzalez field goal to seal the deal. The Cards outgained the Bengals that day 514 to 370. Against Baltimore, Cincy was dominated in time of possession 39:42 to 20:18, gave up more first downs (26 to 18) and were again badly outgained (497 to 240).

Even good defenses play poorly when they tire, and being worn out renders bad ones hopeless. Always be aware of whether the schedule helps or hinders freshness, the mental and physical toll of each game and the running "pitch count." The Bengals just gave up 500 yards in back-to-back games. They have the Rams and Ravens on deck before their bye in three weeks from now. The pitch count on the Bengals defense is getting out of control, which coincides beautifully with the right time to get back on the Jags.

WASHINGTON +9½ -105 over San Francisco

1:00 PM EST. The 5-0 49ers currently are all alone as the No. 1 team in the NFC and get to travel to face the 1-5 Redskins who are fresh from their one-point victory over the winless Dolphins. On the surface, this looks like a mismatch and an easy win for the 49ers. Looking deeper, it gets even worse for the ‘Skins.

The 49ers have won all their games and it appeared to be mostly a function of a fortuitous schedule. Then they held the Browns to only three points in Week 5. Then they went to Los Angeles, where the 49ers defense made it look like a scrimmage between Alabama and St. Mary's School for Wayward Girls. The 49ers are not showcasing any star player. The defense has become elite and the offense avoids mistakes. After this week, four of their next five games are at home. It’s not really a lookahead spot either, as the Niners have the Panthers and Cardinals on deck.

As hoped, the Redskins offense finally came to life, including the rushing effort that finally resembled 2018. And that will be the last we see of the Redskins offense for a while. Their next opponents are SF, @MIN, @BUF, NYJ, and DET. The Skins looked competitive for the first time and maybe the last. But one game in and Interim Head Coach Bill Callahan already has more wins that Jay Gruden. Thing is, that win and non-cover left this market feeling sicker about the Redskins. We are not in any way going to make a case here for Washington. If all things are equal, the Redskins should lose this game by 30 points but all things are not equal. We have to question why this price opened at -9½ and not -10. In turn, we have to wonder if perhaps the books are fairly sure that the 49ers may be a bit too high and that they’ll take this week off after a hugely satisfying win over the Rams. The price here certainly suggests that the 49ers will show up in body only and we would therefore be very cautious about spotting this “reasonable” price with San Francisco. San Fran’s three road wins were by scores of 31-17 over the Bucs, 41-17 over the Bengals and 20-7 over the Rams and the team they’ll face this week is weaker than all three.

Houston +1 -105 over INDIANAPOLIS

1:00 PM EST. Not many nationally gave them a chance, but that didn’t matter. The last time the market saw the Colts was on the road on a Sunday night in front of a nationally televised audience. The Colts pulled off an improbable victory as 11-point underdogs in their 19-13 victory over the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. Specifically, the Colts’ defense was up for the challenge of facing the reigning NFL Most Valuable Player, Patrick Mahomes, and his Chiefs offense that was tied for the top spot in scoring (33.8 PPG) and second in yards per game (474.8 YPG). The Colts held Kansas City well below those averages, as the Chiefs compiled just 324 yards (their lowest since Week 15 of 2018) and 13 points (lowest since Week 12 of 2017). The Chiefs were also in the midst of an NFL-record 25 consecutive games having scored at least 25 points leading into that game.

Meanwhile, in a twist of fate, The Texans also played the Chiefs in their last game but that result was not nearly as unexpected, as the Texans were just a +3½-point underdog, also at Arrowhead. All of the above is worth repeating from a different perspective so allow us to go over it.

Houston was a +3½-point dog while the Colts were a +11-point dog to the exact same team in the exact same location. Now that 11-point dog is favored over that one-point dog based on that one incredibly resonating performance by the 11-point dog. The 3½-point pup also had a great showing but its performance resonated a fraction of the amount because it was no surprise and because it was not in prime time. While we take nothing away from the Colts, fact is, they lost to the Chargers and Raiders and beat Atlanta and Tennessee by two and three points respectively. The Colts could easily be 0-5 and not 3-2. The price on the Colts here reflects just how big an impact one great showing has but truth be told, it is the Texans that are starting to heat up and it is the Texans that are wrongly being billed as the pup in this game.

BUFFALO -16½ -105 over Miami

1:00 PM EST. Do we like the Bills to cover? Hell no. Do we think they’ll cover? F**k no. Do we think this line is ridiculous? Damn straight we do. Let us put this into a little more perspective. In quarterback Josh Allen's first road start on Sept. 23, 2018, the Bills were 17-point underdogs in Minnesota. This Sunday, the Bills will see the same spread against the Dolphins -- this time as the favorites. In the Super Bowl era, no other team has gone from a 17-point underdog to a 17-point favorite in such a short span. This level of respect is rare for the Bills, who were last favored by this many points in 1992, when quarterback Jim Kelly led one of the league's premier offenses.

We’re pretty sure that we’re not alone in the above sentiments. What’s even more interesting is that Buffalo crushed the Vikings last season 27-6, and Kelly's Bills lost 24-17 in 1992 to an inspired Jets team in Week 14. Two 17-point favorites that lost outright but this one is completely different because the Bills DO NOT have the feel of a team worthy to be a 17-point favorite. Furthermore, Ryan Fitzpatrick came off the bench last week and sparked the Dolphins to a fourth quarter rally that just fell short. It’s not the first time Fitzmagic has sparked a team. Finally, the total in this game is 40½. Spotting 16½-points is not conducive in a game that has a total this low. All of these things make a great case for the Fish but that’s the point. We cannot imagine anyone in their right mind thinking that spotting this type of lumber with the Bills is a good idea and that’s probably why it is a good idea.

Josh Rosen is the named starter this week but it's really more of an honorary title since four out of five games witnessed a quarterback swap. Ryan Fitzpatrick breathed some life into the passing offense last week with an actual touchdown pass, but even versus the Redskins, the Dolphins only totaled 217 passing yards with two interceptions. Let’s pretend that Rosen makes it through an entire game but do not bet on it. You see, Buffalo's defense has allowed seven touchdowns; the Dolphins have scored four. Buffalo ranks fifth in average time of possession; the Dolphins rank 32nd. The Dolphins' 31st-ranked run defense will face Buffalo's sixth-ranked rushing offense. The only offense averaging fewer than 60 rushing yards and 200 passing yards per game will face one of three defenses allowing fewer than 90 rushing yards and 190 passing yards per contest. Chances are we’ll see Fitzmagic again in this one, but chances are when he comes in this time he won’t be stuck 14 points like he was last week. Chances are he’ll be stuck close to 40 than 14. The line says so.

NOTE: Brian Flores switched gears again during practice this week and has now named Ryan Fitzpatrick as this week's starter. Flores' head is spinning and it just adds more fuel to this dumnpster fire. We urge you not to play the Dophins.

L.A. RAMS -3 +100 over Atlanta

1:00 PM EST. The Falcons are now 1-5 after a 34-33 loss in Arizona and while it's bad, we're not so sure this is rock bottom. We've been down on the Dirty Birds all season and pegged them to have a down year when we posted them to finish under their season win total of 8½. Bringing back former offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter after five failed years in Tampa Bay was a big reason we felt the Falcons could take a step back here in 2019. Koetter, with the blessing of head coach Dan Quinn, was going to commit to the run. How is that going? Well, Atlanta ranks 29th of the 32 teams in the NFL at 73.5 yards per game with only the Jets, Dolphins and Bengals behind them. To be fair, it's hard to get the ground game going when your stuck two touchdowns just about every week. The Falcons stock is sinking to be sure, but we don't trust this leadership group to right the ship.

The Rams were thumped by the 49ers 20-7 in Week 6 and it was as ugly as the final score would have you believe. L.A. was outgained by 147 yards, dominated in time of possession 38:52 to 21:08 and the Rams had just 10 first downs to San Francisco's 22. It really could have been much worse because the 49ers only converted two of their five trips to the red zone. That's back-to-back losses for the Rams, who are now 3-3. Is this a Super Bowl hangover? Maybe, but we trust that head coach Sean McVay can and will make the adjustments necessary to get them back on track. The front office is doing it’s part after trading for Pro Bowl cornerback Jalen Ramsey from the Jaguars to help the defense. You could do worse than L.A. at 18-1 to win the Super Bowl. The Rams were around 8-1 when those odds were posted after the dust settled on Super Bowl LIII back in February. With regards to Week 7, this game is Rams or nothing simply because it’s a coaching mismatch tight across the board and that matters.

GREEN BAY -6 -110 over Oakland

1:00 PM EST. The entire football world watched on Monday night, as the Packers were gifted a victory over the Vikings. Those most recent results in prime time games carry a ton of influence in the market. For some perspective, Bet365 posted a number on this game before the Cheese Heads took the field on Monday Night Football and they were favored by seven. In the aftermath of that contest, the market took a stand and this number has come down to where you see it now. Much had been made about the Packers and the many bounces they've received this season. Green Bay had been labeled as frauds and nothing that happened on MNF is likely to change that perception. You've heard the case against the Packers. They're banged up, especially at wide receiver, but the emergence of Allen Lazar, an undrafted free agent out of Iowa State, may have given Aaron Rodgers new life. Rodgers made a point to say after the game that he and Lazar sat together in meetings and had developed somewhat of a friendship. Lazar sealed his fate as a new favorite target for #12 when he came back to the huddle prior to his first career touchdown catch and called his number and the route he wanted to run. That kind of confidence from a player in his situation is worth noting. At 5-1 you wouldn't think that Green Bay would be undervalued, but they are not getting the credit for that record as others at the top of the standings are. What would this line have been two weeks ago before the Raiders roughed up the Colts and Bears in consecutive weeks?

Forgive us, but we cannot buy into Chucky's Raiders. We are always looking to sell high on a side and it appears Gruden and company are on the rise. Oakland sat idle last week after squeaking out a Week 5 win over the Bears in foggy London Town. We have preached again and again that these trips across the pond are nothing more than a cash grab and the results aren't worth a hoot. Usually, only one side shows up, which makes that 24-21 edging of the Bears the exception, however, we're sticking to our guns. If the Raiders gained some market credibility in London, then it will suit us well here. A win over the Colts, who then beat the Chiefs, is also going to carry some weight, but this is the same team that got whacked by Minnesota and Kansas City. For more perspective, the Raiders were an 8½-point pooch in Minny, yet they are taking back a much smaller price here. We'll continue to follow the line movement in this game and if the Raiders continue to see action, this game is very likely to make our board Sunday morning. 

N.Y. GIANTS -3 -110 over Arizona

1:00 PM EST. The Giants were rocked 35-14 last Thursday night by the Patriots, but that final score is so misleading. New England struggled on offense early in the game, but Bill Bellichick showed why he's better than just about anybody else in his position. He doesn't panic; he doesn't make a scene; he waits. Waits for the opposing side to do something stupid and then he pounces. The first two touchdowns the Giants gave up were because of their own incompetence. A punt was blocked for a score and then a Daniel Jones interception gave the Pats a short field and they took advantage of that too. If you cashed a ticket with New England spotting 17-points, you should thank your lucky stars. That was the second time in as many weeks that the G-Men got waffled by double digits just as many in the market were ready to crown Jones, the king of New York after winning the first two starts of his career. With those flames fanned, the Giants appear to be spotting a short price to an invader that's outkicked it's coverage the last two weeks.

The Cardinals are gaining steam after back-to-back wins, but because of that recent success, we have to wonder if they are overvalued here on the road. What would this line have been if they had not held on in Cincinnati in Week 5 after giving up a late lead and done something similar last Sunday in a one point win over the Falcons? What we do know after six weeks is that head coach Kliff Kingsbury is an idiot in the pros just as he was in the college ranks. It's really hard to back a team when you know the guy in charge is unfit for the position. Kingsbury and his Air Raid offense is getting good press in the desert, but it's their defense that should be the story after giving up double digits in the final frame the last two weeks.

The Cards new defensive coordinator is fired Broncos head man and accused groper Vance Joseph. Vance Joseph’ and Kliff Kingsbury’s true calling are as inside linebackers water station quality control associates.

We are not buying this rebranded iteration of the Cards, and neither should you. They have all the cachet of an XFL3 outfit, and they’ve entrusted two consecutive reboots to a GM who looks like a bouncer at a skinhead bar. The Cards could easily be 0-6 instead of 2-3-1. Two of Arizona's losses were by double digits, while the other loss was a flattering 23-17 final in Baltimore. Their two victories came by a combined four points and now they’re getting way too much credit because they hung some points on the Dirty Birds.

The Giants just got trounced by 18 and 21 points by Minnesota and New England respectively, two teams that are rolling right now but final scores and records carry more weight in this market than anything else. By contrast, the Cardinals are coming off back-to-back wins over Cincinnati and Atlanta respectively and they’re priced here like they played a worthwhile team. Recency bias has the Giants one of the more undervalued teams on the board this week and we know exactly what to do.

L.A. Chargers +2½ over TENNESSEE

4:05 PM EST. There's one word to describe this game and that's ugly. How far have the Chargers fallen after a 2-4 start to the season that they are actually taking back points to the two win Titans? If this contest were to have kicked off in Week 1, we have no doubt that L.A.s' AFC side would have been the betting chalk. However, when one gets beat handily at home by a third string quarterback in front of the football world on Sunday night, market perception and the price at the window is likely to be greatly influenced. That 24-17 final flattered the "home" team, as the Chargers spotted the Steelers and their many, many fans in the stands in L.A. a 24-0 lead after three quarters. Those that held tickets on the Chargers likely gave up before that furious fourth quarter made the final score look much closer than it really was. Week to week, the over and under reactions to prime time games is often the most significant and that's why the Chargers may be worth a look here against a two-win Tennessee squad.

The Titans have been circling the drain for weeks and we're not sure what to make of the decision to sit Marcus Mariota in favor of Ryan Tannehill. While Mariota hasn't set the field on fire, he hadn't been making the big mistakes, that is until the Titans 16-0 shutout at Denver in which he threw his first two interceptions of the season. 63 passing yards did nothing to help Mariota's case, but it was just three weeks ago that he went off against the Falcons for three touchdowns and a 129.7 quarterback rating. Two weeks ago, the Titans offense was stagnant against the Bills, but they are quickly becoming one of the top units in the league. Now, the Titans will throw Tannehill into the fire, but we're not so sure he's going to be an upgrade or provide the spark needed to get the Titans offense off the schneid.

To recap: For the Titans, falling to 2-4 is a big enough problem, but scoring no more than seven points in three of the last four is a sign that no progress is happening so Ryan Tannehill gets the call. Meanwhile, the Chargers offense is handicapped with poor blocking and marginal rushing. The return of Melvin Gordon has only made it worse, not better. Keenan Allen is yet another elite wideout that has mysteriously declined. The only improvement so far is the return of Hunter Henry. The Chargers just lost at home to a then 1-4 Steelers team debuting a third-string quarterback and it is not going to get any better next week in Chicago. Pick your poison and plug your nose. We’re recommending the Chargers only because they were featured in prime time last week and made the market sick with their performance and because tthe price (+2½) is an underdog number.

CHICAGO -3½ +104 over New Orleans

4:25 PM EST. The last time anyone saw the Bears, they were in a struggle overseas with the Raiders. Chicago was a popular bet that day in London and because that game was played in Great Britain, it had extra attention from the market in that region. It was clear the market had taken a side in Week 5 and Chicago burned every one of its backers that Sunday Morning. The Bears are now just 3-2 overall and 2-3 against the spread. Chicago was a popular preseason pick, with quarterback Mitch Trubsky getting more action in Vegas for MVP than any other player. We're pretty sure you can rip up those tickets now or maybe try and get two cents on the dollar from some poor schlub that doesn't know any better. The Bears were a Lions win away on Monday Night Football from being the basement dwellers of the NFC North, which was a much talked about situation on that highly watched broadcast. The Bears stock is at the lowest it's been this season, which provides us with another opportunity.

We talk about "zig zagging" all the time and this game has that theory working in spades. The Saints covered again last week and their bandwagon is filling up rapidly. It’s now four wins in a row for this 5-1 squad 5-1 squad and as it turns out, they never really needed Drew Brees after all. The Saints have exceeded all expectations while the Bears are falling short and now team with its stock high is taking back more than a field goal in what figures to be a low scoring game. We urge you to not buy high on the Saints and to likewise to sell low on the Bears. It was fascinating that New Orleans was bet so heavily against in Week 6 in Jacksonville. Despite the continuous sharp action against them in the market in that matchup, the Saints won the game outright 13-6. That so called “heavy fade” on the Saints came a week too early. Considering QB Mitchell Trubisky is still questionable (we’re certainly not convinced that Chase Daniel is a downgrade) and the fact Teddy Bridgewater is a covering machine, this number dropped from its opener of -4 to the current price and by Sunday, we expect this to be a clear -3.

Saints coach Sean Payton was reluctant to play Teddy “Wobbly Balls” Bridgewater” in the first game after Brees was hurt. Even his coach knew he wasn’t likely to lead the team to a victory. He’s now looking to go 5-0 in Brees’ absence and although last week looked like the perfect time to fade the Saints, it wasn’t and this week is. Stick with it, as New Orleans were taking back a similar price last week against the Jaguars. Preseason projections certainly did not have the Jags and Bears sharing the same stratosphere.

Baltimore +3 -105 over SEATTLE

4:25 PM EST. This game has all the sizzle you could want in a feature spot on the late slate. These are two teams with solid records and each featuring a quarterback capable of making a highlight reel play at any time. It should be a great game to watch, but that's not why we're here.

From a wagering perspective, this is a tough game to trust either side. We've poked holes in Seattle's record all year, but they've been getting an MVP caliber season from Russel Wilson and he's winning games all by himself. If not for their star pivot, the Seahawks would be circling the drain and looking up at the rest of the NFC West. Sure, the Seachickens are 5-1, but they have been a bad favorite all season covering just one of their five games as the betting chalk.

That whole "the Ravens are balanced on offense" thing was not true. The passing stats have declined nearly every week while the rushing production rises. And the Ravens are winning. They already have a comfortable two-game lead in the division and a bye waiting on the other side of this matchup. The offense may have reverted to 2018, but is even more effective with Mark Ingram and they present an entirely different sort of matchup to prepare to face. That said, Baltimore has made no friends in this market after cashing just one ticket this season, which is why it is very hard to back in any scenario. The question from a betting perspective is what is the market’s perception of these two teams? Both are winning but not cashing a lot of tickets but Russel Wilson has a boatload more credibility than Lamar Jackson. We’re on the fence for this one and do not have a strong lean one way or the other, so for now, we’re going to recommend Baltimore but we’re wide open to making a change should we see something by Sunday morning.

DALLAS -3 over Philadelphia

8:20 PM EST. The is the late game on Sunday. The 3-3 Cowboys are now tied with these Eagles for the NFC East lead though the Cowboys are on a three-game losing streak and apparently losing steal with every game. The Eagles are only 1-2 on the road but this game is critical if either team has playoff aspirations because the division looks less likely to produce with every week.

The Eagles were waxed by the Vikings in Week 6 but had just beaten the Packers and Jets. The rushing offense came to life for three weeks but then settled back when facing a good defense on the road. The easy games are over for the Eagles who face a stretch of matchups of @DAL, @BUF, CHI, NE, and SEA next. From our vantage point, the Eagles standing in the market is neutral.

The ‘Boys standing in the market is not neutral. It isn't Armageddon yet, but after a 3-0 start beating up the Giants, Redskins, and Dolphins, the Cowboys have dropped three straight. That included division-leading Saints and Packers, as well as the Jets. The Cowboys have offensive line problems again and now it appears that Amari Cooper may miss this game. A loss here sends the Cowboys into their Week 7 bye on a very sour note. The offense is less capable and that new, mystery offense by Kellen Moore is looking a lot like the old one. Throw in a very banged-up offensive line and the Cowboys are struggling and their stock is sinking faster than the Chargers stock. Is that our cue to move in? Perhaps but right now we are on the fence. Philadelphia may offer up value here as a live MONEY LINE pooch but we suspect that the market is going to bombard the Eagles because there is nothing good to say about Dallas. We’ll wait until Sunday before making a decision here but our early lean is on the ‘Boys because their stock is so low.

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