Baltimore @ PITTSBURGH
Baltimore -3½ +110 over PITTSBURGH

Pinnacle -3½ +110 B365 -3½ -110 SportsInteraction -3½ +100 5DIMES  -3½ +100 888Sport  N/A

Baltimore -3½ +110 over PITTSBURGH 

1:00 PM EST. We're selling a half point in this too and taking the price up to -3½, as oppposed to spotting -3 and laying 20 cents or so.

The 2-2 Ravens were just manhandled by the visiting Browns in a big upset. The 1-3 Steelers easily dispatched the visiting Bengals. This is a tougher one to call since the Ravens have cooled significantly since thrashing the Dolphins in Week 1. We were later to discover that wasn't as hard as it seemed. Now that these two bandwagons are going in slightly different directions, it’s time to jump on the Ravens when everyone is jumping off and jump off the Steelers when most are jumping back on.

You're going to have to dig deep into the archives to find the last time the Ravens were favored in Pittsburgh by more than a FG and considering last week's results and the heated rivalry and history between these two, those 3½-points are going to look mighty appealing, especially considering the Steelers are at home. We urge you to back off. You see, the winners of those high profile games are often overvalued the next time out and these Steelers fit the bill. What would this line have been if these two teams played a week ago before the Ravens got waffled by the Browns and the Steelers were still winless?

There's no sugarcoating the beatdown in Baltimore the "old" Browns took from the current incarnation, so we're just going to move on. We trust the Ravens lost much of their market credibility they had built over the first three weeks, as the Brownies, who have been this year’s biggest disappointment, ran all over them just as the Browns’ bandwagon was emptying. The market can be fickle and the Ravens did some damage last week by blowing up the future financial dreams of anyone that teased down the 6½ point spread, included betting them in a money line parlay or even selected them for Survivor. Here's a hot tip, never, ever, pick a 6½-point favorite in your Survivor pool. They are usually the liveliest dogs on the board and often win outright.

We take big notice when oddsmakers slap that "hook" on a key number. The market will often look at that as a "bad" number and feel they are getting an edge. We couldn't disagree more. -3½ is a favorite number and this season, they have been some of the best bets. If you're looking for short-priced favorites, a number like this is a great place to start.

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Our Pick

Baltimore -3½ +110 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.20)