Tampa Bay @ NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS -3 -103 over Tampa Bay

Pinnacle -3 -103 B365 -3 -115 SportsInteraction -3 -110 5DIMES  -3 -110 888Sport  -3 -110

NEW ORLEANS -3 -103 over Tampa Bay

1:00 PM EST. The Saints won but did not impress in their 12-10 Sunday night victory over the Cowboys. When you don't score a touchdown, you are not supposed to win. We're not going to sugarcoat the Bree-less Saint offense. However, we will say that even before the future Hall-of-Famer's injury, this team had been moving towards a focus on running the ball and playing solid defense. Those are the two biggest reasons the Saints have been able to go 2-0 without their leader. Spotting points with the sputtering Saints offense to a Tampa team that put up 54 points on the mighty Rams doesn’t appear to be an appealing proposition but we suspect that's precisely what oddsmakers were thinking.

The Buccaneers did some real damage in survivor pools across the football landscape with nearly 30% of Yahoo! pigskin pickers siding with the hometown Rams as 9-point chalk. When you put up 50 plus points as the Bucs did last Sunday, you are going to turn some heads. This market loves high scoring sides and they've targeted the Bucs after that offensive outburst. This line opened with Tampa taking back five points but has been bet down significantly. Beating the closing line is a popular practice by some in the market, but we'd caution you from doing the same. Perhaps oddsmakers put up a bad number, but we suspect they knew exactly what they were doing and anticipated an overreaction on the Bucs big win. The days of the books managing "50/50" action and taking home the vig are over. Oddsmakers wanted action on Tampa and they got it in spades. That position makes the Bucs a great "sell high" candidate. Don't forget that this is the same team that was embarrassed 31-17 at home to the 49ers in Week 1 and blew a double digit lead at home to a rookie quarterback in a 32-31 loss to the Giants in Week 3. The Bucs are the kind of team that will over-perform when it's least expected to and then drop the ball when the market jumps on their bandwagon. We were on the Bucs last Sunday and we'll happily fade them here.

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Our Pick

NEW ORLEANS -3 -103 (Risking 2.06 units - To Win: 2.00)