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Posted at 2:30 PM EST.

L.A. Rams +107 over SEATTLE

8:20 PM EST. The Rams are not going to have many friends in this market after they were outgunned by the Buccaneers last Sunday. Not only did L.A. not cover the 9-point spread, but it lost outright by double digits 55-40. That means you can take your teasers, money line parlays and survivor pool entries and flush them all down the toilet. The Rams have been raked over the coals this week in the media with many questioning what's wrong with running back Todd Gurley and why he is not being used after just five carries on Sunday, but if you watched that game, you know that the Rams were down early and were forced to throw the ball 68 times. We faded the Rams hard last Sunday, citing it as the perfect trap game (sandwiched between two prime time games) and that is precisely how it played out. Now, the Rams are undervalued in a game they probably would have been favored in if they had taken care of business as expected on Sunday. That is a very appealing proposition.

We're not buying the 3-1 Seahawks. A closer look shows their body of work this season is not impressive and not worthy of the accolades they are receiving this week. A Week 1 stinker against the Bengals should have been a loss, as Seattle was dominated everywhere on the field except the scoreboard. Have you seen the Bengals play? A Week 2 road win at Pittsburgh came in the game the Steelers lost Ben Roethlisberger. Even with "Big Ben" out of the lineup, the Seahawks still scraped by with a two-point victory. In Week 3, the Seahawks were exposed by the Bree-less Saints and were badly outplayed with that 33-27 final flattering Seattle, as it closed a double-digit gap with a garbage touchdown as time expired. Finally, last week, the Seahawks shut down the winless Cardinals 27-10. Color us not impressed.

If you watched the NFL Network today, you'd think this game was being played a few seasons ago when the Seahawks were at their best and the Rams were still bottom feeders in St. Louis. We watch closely and hear this among other things, “Chris Carson is "having himself a year” and Russell Wilson and Tyler Lockett need to be considered among the league's best quarterback/wide receiver duos”. Nobody said a word about Cooper Kupp and his NFC best 388 yards on the year. All of that is just noise, but it has influence. On the Rams side, it's all doom and gloom according to the media after last week’s loss to Tampa. If someone that knew nothing about anything with regards to this game was forced to watch that coverage and then make a bet with their life on the line, we suspect most would side with Seattle. However, we know better. One of these two teams is a legit Super Bowl contender that had a slight misstep, while the other is nothing more than smoke and mirrors. This line has been heavily influenced by recency bias and that makes the Rams an absolute great value play. It’s also a coaching mismatch on a short week and it’s not in Seattle’s favor.

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