Tampa Bay @ L.A. RAMS
Tampa Bay +9 -107 over L.A. RAMS

Pinnacle +9 -107 BET365 +9 -110 SportsInteraction +9 -110 5DIMES +9 -110 888Sport +9 -110

Posted at 11:15 AM EST.

Tampa Bay +9 -107 over L.A. RAMS

4:05 PM EST. The Rams are 3-0, but their résumé leaves a lot to be desired. A tight Week 1 win over Carolina isn't worth much now that we know how broken Cam Newton really was at that time. In Week 2, L.A. blasted New Orleans, but the Saints lost starter Drew Brees early in that contest and did not recover from that blow. Finally, last Sunday night, the Rams downed the Browns 20-13, but they were not the story coming out of that game. No, it was the bone headedness of Cleveland coach Freddie Kitchens and his horrible play calling that dominated the headlines. If the Browns had a competent coach, the result of that game could have been very different.

The Rams biggest problems lies at the league's most important position. Through three weeks, of all the pivots to make at least 45 pass attempts, Jarod Goff is ranked 26th in quarterback DVOA at Football Outsiders. For some perspective, Eli Manning, who was benched for good after Week 2, sits five spots higher on that list. Only 37 QB’s qualify at the moment, which is even more damning for Goff because Kyle Allen and Daniel Jones are very likely to pass him if they keep up their quality play in Week 4. In the shape it's in, this Rams offense cannot be spotting a price like this to a team that is capable of putting up points in bunches.

The Buccaneers kicking woes continued in what has become a yearly problem for this team regardless of who is in charge. Coach Bruce Arians said he was going to stick with Matt Gay despite his missing two extra points and the potential game-winning field goal as time expired. The Bucs would go on to blow a double digit lead and fall to 1-2 with their other loss being a 31-17 blowout at home against the 49ers. Tampa's only win was that 20-14 triumph over the Newton led Panthers on Thursday Night Football. We doubt that W is carrying much weight in the market this week. However, we are in the business of buying low and there is no doubt the Bucs are severely undervalued in Week 4. They also catch the Rams in a lookahead spot, as L.A. is on a short week with a trip to Seattle on the horizon.

The "sandwich game" is one of the oldest traps in the game but at the right time, it still has bite. The no-name opponent on the schedule between two big games. The letdown and the lookahead rolled into one and it remains a common cause of a C-game because there are so many ways for it to go wrong. The first big game can be taxing, thrilling, deflating or any other thing that big games often are, the second one can be anticipated in several different distracting ways, and then there's the meat of the sandwich itself: never feared, perpetually overlooked, disrespected and written off. After a prime time win last week against the Browns and with a prime time game up next on Thursday against Seattle, Tampa Bay is the filler and thus the Rams are the team on C-game alert. Upset possibility.

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Our Pick

Tampa Bay +9 -107 (Risking 2.14 units - To Win: 2.00)