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Posted at 1:30 PM EST.

WASHINGTON +5½ -101 over Chicago

8:20 PM EST. It's only Week 3 and we have another curious matchup on Monday Night Football, as not many pegged these Redskins for success in 2019. However, all you have to do is follow the money to find that Washington is the sixth-largest market in the United States and ESPN has a buffet of advertisements for our viewing pleasure. Chicago is the third biggest, which make the Bears a fine foe to pull a big rating. There's a reason the Jets will get more than one home date on MNF and playoff teams like Indianapolis and Baltimore do not get to host a game. On the field, the Redskins have dropped their first two games of the season to the Eagles and Cowboys respectively with last week's 10-point defeat to Dallas being the freshest in the mind of the market. The Redskins 17-0 first half start in Philadelphia has long been forgotten, but that will happen when you give it all back and have to sneak in the back door just to cover the number.

Unlike the Redskins, these Bears have high hopes for this season but they could easily by 0-2 after losing ugly in Week 1 to Green Bay and getting a gift last Sunday in Denver after a suspect call led to the game-winning field goal attempt. While nothing is automatic, especially with a kicker in a Bears uniform, Eddy Pineiro hit the 53-yarder at high altitude to save his team from going winless to start the season. Emmanual Sanders said the Broncos are, "living in a world of suck." What does that say about this Bears team that should have lost to them? Chicago was outgained in Denver, lost the time of possession and its offense saw the red zone just one time. How the hell is Mitch Trubisky, who can't throw the ball five yards supposed to cover a number like this on the road? Trubisky still hasn't thrown a touchdown and in Denver, he was limited to only 120 passing yards. Trubisky ranks dead last in the NFL among starting quarterbacks with only 8.3 yards per completion and that was with Allen Robinson catching seven passes for 102 yards in the opener. It would be catastrophically lower without that one performance.

The market doesn't seem as sick to its stomach about holding a ticket on Trubisky and the Bears as we are, as this line has crept up since opening at -4, but spotting road points in a prime time game is not a situation we are often looking to invest in. For Washington, this is the biggest game of its season. Sure, perhaps they rip off 11 wins in a row and make the playoffs but that is as likely as Trubisky throwing for 300 yards tonight. That means this is the Skins Super Bowl. This is the only time the eyes of the football world will be on FedExField. The Bears are playing like they're stuck in the mud. Pressure is mounting while the ‘Skins are playing with house money. Trubisky simply cannot go throw for throw with even a guy like Case Keenum, who has been a pleasant surprise so far in D.C. When a team draws up the blueprint to beat another team as Green Bay did in the opener against Chicago, that blueprint is emulated by everyone. Denver used it last week and the Skins will use it here. The Bears have a great defense but the team as it is now is not well-suited to be spotting this many road points to anyone not named Miami or the Jets. This is a definite overlay. 

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