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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Monmouth +5½ -110 over Hofstra

CareFirst Arena, Washington, DC

7:00 PM EST Monmouth enters the CAA Championship game in excellent form, riding a strong stretch of basketball that has carried them through the conference tournament. The Hawks have won several games in a row and have shown the ability to grind out victories even when the outside shot isn’t falling. In their semifinal win over Campbell, Monmouth shot poorly from three-point range but still controlled the game with disciplined defense and efficient free-throw shooting. That type of versatility can be extremely valuable in a championship setting, where teams often have to win in different ways depending on the flow of the game.

Offensively, Monmouth relies heavily on the backcourt leadership of Kavion McClain, who continues to be the engine of the Hawks’ attack with his scoring and playmaking ability. Jason Rivera-Torres provides balance inside, contributing scoring and rebounding that helps stabilize the offense when perimeter shots aren’t falling. As a team, Monmouth averages just under 73 points per game while allowing slightly over 70, showing a relatively balanced approach on both ends of the floor. The Hawks have also been effective at creating turnovers and turning those opportunities into transition scoring, which can be a major factor in close tournament games.

From a betting perspective, the value leans toward Monmouth against the spread in this matchup with Hofstra. While Hofstra has been strong during the season, the Hawks’ current momentum and defensive activity give them a legitimate chance to keep this game tight throughout. Championship games in conference tournaments often come down to execution and possession management, and Monmouth has been taking care of the ball while forcing mistakes from opponents. With their recent run of form and ability to stay competitive in slower-paced games, the Hawks offer appealing value to cover the number in the CAA title matchup.

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