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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Long Island U -6 -110 over Mercyhurst

7:00 PM EST Long Island enters the NEC Championship game with strong momentum and a season that has quietly been one of the most consistent in the conference. The Sharks have compiled a 23–10 record and have been particularly tough on their home floor, where they’ve built an extended winning streak against unranked opponents. Offensively, LIU averages just under 74 points per game and has been able to generate balanced scoring behind Jamal Fuller and Greg Gordon, who both provide steady production and versatility on the perimeter. Gordon, in particular, has been in excellent form recently, contributing efficient scoring while also impacting games defensively and on the glass.

Mercyhurst has proven it can compete in this matchup after winning the most recent meeting between the teams, but the circumstances surrounding that result suggest the rematch could look different. In that previous game, the Lakers benefited from extremely efficient shooting while capitalizing on LIU turnovers to create extra scoring opportunities. Replicating that level of offensive efficiency can be difficult, especially in a championship environment where games often slow down and possessions become more valuable. Defensively, Long Island has been solid throughout the season at limiting opponents from the perimeter and forcing uncomfortable shots, which could become a key factor in controlling the tempo.

From a betting perspective, the value leans toward Long Island to cover the spread. The Sharks have been the more reliable team across the full season, particularly on their home court where their defense tends to tighten up and their role players perform with more confidence. If LIU simply cleans up some of the mistakes that hurt them in the previous loss—particularly turnovers—it should be able to dictate the pace and create enough separation to stay ahead on the scoreboard. With strong recent form and a proven ability to defend efficiently, Long Island offers the stronger value play to cover in this NEC Championship matchup.

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