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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Memphis +110 over New Orleans

7:30PM EST Memphis comes into this matchup in a much stronger position than the raw standings might suggest, and that gap creates betting value against a struggling New Orleans team. While the Grizzlies are coming off a loss, their overall offensive profile remains far more stable and reliable. Memphis continues to move the ball well, ranking among the league’s better teams in assists, and they’ve been able to generate quality perimeter looks consistently throughout the season. Their ability to force turnovers and create extra possessions is especially important against a Pelicans squad that has been prone to defensive breakdowns and inefficient scoring nights. This matchup gives Memphis a chance to reset against one of the league’s weakest defenses.

From a matchup standpoint, Memphis has several advantages that tilt this game in their favor. The Grizzlies are the more disciplined defensive team, allowing fewer points per game and holding opponents to lower shooting percentages across the board. New Orleans has struggled badly on the defensive end, ranking near the bottom of the league in points allowed, assists surrendered, and overall field-goal defense. Even when the Pelicans generate extra rebounding chances, those opportunities often fail to translate into consistent scoring due to poor shot selection and limited ball movement. Memphis’ ability to contest shots, limit second-chance efficiency, and capitalize on turnovers puts steady pressure on a New Orleans team that lacks depth and cohesion.

The value angle becomes clear when comparing consistency and execution. Memphis has been competitive most nights and possesses multiple ways to score, while New Orleans has frequently relied on individual performances without sustained offensive flow. The Pelicans’ defensive inefficiencies make it difficult for them to protect leads or respond when opponents string together scoring runs. Memphis’ balance, defensive activity, and superior structure give them the edge in a game that should remain controlled rather than chaotic. With New Orleans continuing to rank among the league’s least reliable teams on both ends of the floor, Memphis offers clear value to win outright tonight, making the Grizzlies the preferred side in this matchup.

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