Posted at 1:15 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle +11 -106 BET365 +10½ -110 Sportsinteraction +10½ -110 888Sport +10½ -110

Washington +11 over Golden State

Best Odds: -106 at Pinnacle 

7:00 PM EST. We've said it before and we'll say it as many times as we need to: we're not in the business of blowing smoke up your ass. Which means we're not in the business of regurgitating statistics that you can read in 3-million other sites on the interwebs. By now we're sure you know that the Wizards are among the poorest teams in the association and the Warriors, while they started slow, look like a contender again since late January. Since January 24th, Golden State is 11-5 straight up and 11-5 against the spread (ATS), marks that have elevated their chances at another postseason bid as long as they continue to win. At one point the Dubs were outside the playoff picture; now they sit in 10th, the first play-in spot.

Their opponent couldn't be more opposite. Washington is on a horrid 11-game losing streak, yet to eclipse 10 wins this season, and they're getting beat up by an average margin of 14 ppg in their last 11 losses. In other words, there's not much to like about the current form of the Washington Wizards, no matter which way we try to pitch it. 

But this is also a great spot to take advantage of highs and lows in the marketplace. Oddsmakers couldn't be lower on the Wizards right now, and understandably so. They also couldn't be higher on the Warriors, who are commanding double-digit chalk on the road. Consider us intrigued. The Wizards are still at home and Jordan Poole, who won a ring with Golden State and just got relegated to Washington's second unit, will be motivated to avenge his poor performance in their first meeting (7-21 from the field). For what it's worth, the second unit seems to be working better for Poole. The kid could use a slice of humble pie, most fans and analysts would agree with that, and in two games outside the starting five he put up 21 and 31 points, respectively. Even better for Washington backers, although they've been blown out plenty in February, 6 of their last 8 losses were by 9 points or less, and against some very good competition. The Cavs (x2), Celtics, 76ers, Mavericks, and Pelicans all beat Washington by less than 10 points.

And it's not like this is a marquee matchup for Golden State. It's the opposite, as a matter of fact. Steve Kerr has basically said that this will be an experiment of sorts, as Chris Paul returns to the roster after a nearly two month hiatus. In a presser, Kerr said that CP3 will play point-guard during the non-Steph Curry minutes and then get some time with Curry, too.  That's a big change for a Warriors' team that's been in-sync and in-rhythm lately, and we think it could cause hiccups. Chris Paul is a hall-of-famer but he's also an older player and stuck in his ways. Lord knows Draymond Green hasn't been the biggest fan of Paul in the past, and now they'll need to co-exist and share leadership roles on the same court. With trips to New York, Toronto, and Boston awaiting the Warriors on their long road trip, this is a game they could easily overlook. We'll buy low on the Wiz-kids in a much better situational opportunity.

Farley

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