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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Toronto +130 over NY Yankees

Braydon Fisher (RHP - Toronto) vs. Carlos Rodón (LHP - New York)

7:05 PM EST. Carlos Rodón returns to the mound still searching for consistency after offseason elbow surgery, and the early results have been concerning. The New York left-hander has walked eight batters over just eight innings through his first two starts back, showing clear command issues while struggling to consistently locate his fastball in leverage counts. Rodón’s current 5.62 ERA reflects those control problems, and the matchup becomes even tougher against a Toronto lineup that has historically handled him well. Current Blue Jays hitters own a collective .836 OPS against Rodón, suggesting this is a group comfortable seeing his pitch mix and capable of punishing mistakes when he falls behind in counts. If Rodón continues handing out free passes, Toronto has enough contact hitters at the top of the lineup to generate sustained offensive pressure.=

Braydon Fisher remains somewhat of an unknown commodity at the major-league level, but the early returns have been encouraging. The Toronto right-hander enters with a spotless 0.00 ERA and has shown an ability to attack the strike zone without pitching away from contact. For Toronto, the key here is simply getting quality innings early and turning the game over to a bullpen that has quietly stabilized over the last stretch. Fisher’s aggressive approach could work well against a Yankees lineup that continues to lean heavily on power production and can become vulnerable when forced to string together singles and situational offense rather than relying on home runs.

Toronto profiles as a live underdog in this spot because the starting pitching gap is much narrower than public perception suggests. Rodón’s strikeout upside remains elite, but command inconsistency following elbow surgery creates volatility, especially against a lineup with strong historical success against him. The Blue Jays also enter with a patient offensive profile capable of exploiting walks and elevated pitch counts early. If Toronto can force Rodón into traffic through the first few innings, the pressure shifts quickly onto a Yankees bullpen that has carried a heavy workload recently. With value attached to the underdog price and New York still searching for consistency from Rodón, Toronto has a strong opportunity to steal this game on the road.

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