Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle  +104 BET365  +105 Sportsinteraction  +105 888Sport  +105

Minnesota +104 over L.A. Angels

9:38 PM EST. Chris Paddack (RHP - MIN) is coming off his best start of the season on Monday, in which he pitched seven shutout innings while striking out 10 and earning a win over the White Sox. In that start, Paddack retired the first 10 batters he faced, and other than a bases-loaded situation in the fourth inning, he didn't face much adversity. In that turn, Paddack set season highs in innings pitched and punchouts, which brought his surface ERA to 5.57. While that number does not look good, Paddack’s xERA is a much more serviceable 3.89. He’s also seen an uptick in his first-pitch strike rate (54.5% in 2023 to 60.8% in 2024), and he’s seen his groundball rate return to form after a dip last season.

Jose Soriano (RHP - LAA) is finding his way in the rotation after beginning the season in the bullpen, but don't get caught up in the six scoreless innings he posted in his last start against the Reds, as he’s struggled with his control, walking eight batters over his last two starts (11 IP). Soriano missed most of 2021 and 2022 after undergoing Tommy John surgery, and the only reason he is in the rotation is that the Angels are desperate for starting pitching. While Soriano’s ERA is 3.43, his xERA is over a run higher at 4.59, and he boasts a brutal 4.71 BB/9 walk rate and has been supported by a lucky Batting Average of Balls in Play of .200. A correction to the bad is likely coming for Soriano across all fronts, and while we cannot predict that will happen today, we’ll test that hypothesis by fading him in this spot.

Sherwood

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