L.A. Dodgers @ Tampa Bay
L.A. Dodgers +110 over Tampa Bay

Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle  -101 BET365 -105 Sportsinteraction -103 888Sport -105

Los Angeles +110 over Tampa Bay

1:35 PM EST. Josh Fleming (RHP -TB) likely isn’t going to go more than two or three innings because he’s a reliever that couldn’t make it as a starter. Dude has a very weak BB/K split of 17/21 in 43 innings. That’s as bad as it gets at this level. Fleming has appeared in 10 games this year with only two of those being starts.

Over in the Land of Endless Baseball Riches, the Dodgers will nonchalantly toss out another mid-rotation starter like they've got some exhaustive pipeline of these kinds of high-upside guys down on the farm. Spoiler: They honestly do. 6'1" and 175 pounds, Gavin Stone (RHP - LA) had amongst the most helium across the Dodgers' arm heaven after '22, despite coming into the year with projections hovering more around a back-end starter even though his first year in '21 was similarly dominant. Part of the knocks were a fastball parked in the low 90s and a seldom used change but all that changed after Stone not only dominated at Triple-AAA but was now sitting 95 MPH and touching 98 with his above-average fastball, which plays up due to his lower arm slot, though the pitch only generated an 18% whiff rate last year. More importantly, the changeup turned into a borderline plus offering that drops off the table and now is thrown nearly as frequently as the fastball. Stone rounds out the package with an above-average slider (37% whiff%). Stone is athletic and his delivery is repeatable, but he came out of the gates here in '23 struggling, with a bit of zip lost off the fastball, averaging closer to 93 mph. The change and slider have improved over the last few games, so he's moving in the right direction despite a 4.96 xERA, 11.4% BB%, and 25.4% hit rate. Despite all that damage, Stone's slash against is .204/.295/.323. There's a #3 starter upside here with a little chance He’ll now make his third start of his MLB career and while he hasn’t looked at all, it’s not uncommon to see a first timer struggle in his first few starts. In a buy low situation on L.A’s starter here, the Dodgers are almost always worth a bet taking back a price.

Sherwood

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Our Pick

L.A. Dodgers +110 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.20)

Chicago -103 over Boston