N.Y. Yankees @ Baltimore
Baltimore +170 over N.Y. Yankees

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Posted at 3:00 PM EST.

Baltimore +170 over New York Yankees

7:05 PM EST. It can be difficult to step in front of what looks like a freight train, but we’re not going to give up on our fade of these Yankees. That fade began May 10 and will last until New York’s three game set in Minnesota on June 9th. So far we are 0-5 in this journey, but we’re not throwing in the towel. This is Game 6 of 29.

Today’s starting pitchers:

Luis Severino (RHP - NYY) brings his 4.08 ERA and 2-0 record into this series with the Orioles. Severino lasted 4.2 innings last time out against the Blue Jays. He gave up three runs on five hits. Severino has seen both his strikeout rate and his walk rate head in the wrong direction this season. His walks are up nearly double (1.50-to-2.83 BB/9), while his Ks are down from 12 K/9 in 2021 to 9.73 K/9 in 2022. Dude is three months shy of his 29th birthday. To suggest he’s peaked is not out of line.

Kyle Bradish (RHP - BAL) earned his first win last time out after giving up just two runs on four hits while striking out 11 Cardinals. Bradish sports a sweet xERA of 3.82 but his skills have been much better than that: 25% K%, 5% BB%, 20% K-BB%, 45% grounders. This is the buidling of a profile that has lasting success numbers in it. Keep your eye on Bradish.

Our Pick

Baltimore +170 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.40)

Baltimore -1 +185 over Seattle
Boston -1 +220 over Toronto