Detroit @ ST. LOUIS
Detroit -1 +166 over ST. LOUIS

Pinnacle -1½ +166 BET365 -1½ +160 SportsInteraction +105 BetOnlin-1½ +160 Bookmaker

Posted at 11:15 AM EST. 

Detroit -1½ +168 over ST. LOUIS

1:10 PM EST. The Cardinals were a massive favorite last night with Jack Flaherty on the hill and lost their fifth game in their past seven outings. This is a team that just lost two of three to Pittsburgh and scored seven times in the three game set. They lost to Detroit last night and were shutout for the first seven innings.

Baseball is a funny game, as anything can happen but we’re going to trust that the back-to-anemic Cardinals offense is going to have to score some runs (and we’re not talking two or three) to prevent us from cashing this ticket. You see, the Tigers figure to get theirs because they are facing a pitcher that is worse than retired pitchers. For instance, if Jon Lester (LHP - St. L) was up against Bartolo Colon or Bronson Arroyo, we would be all over Colon or Arroyo. Today’s he’s facing Tarik Skubal (LHP - DET) and we don’t have to spot anything and could even take back 5 cents or so if we wanted to? Get the fuck outta here!! 

There are a half dozen teams today that would be a -250 favorite over Lester. There are another 10 that would be a -200 favorite. There are maybe two teams (Baltimore and Miami) that should be evenly priced against Jon Lester and even that might be a stretch. Detroit can hit, they can score, they win games and they CANNOT be an underdog against Lester. it's absurd.

Aside from having a dead arm, Jon Lester has experienced some control issues in August while running into too many bats this month. He’s allowed four earned runs in three innings or less in three of his last four starts. The Tigers are much at their best against southpaws. Does it even matter who’s pitching for the Tigers? If this was a week ago and Charlie Watts (RH Drummer - Rolling Stones) was pitching for the Tigers, we’d still fade Lester. Jesus.

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Our Pick

Detroit -1 +166 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.32)

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