Colorado @ SAN DIEGO
Colorado -1 +200 over SAN DIEGO

Pinnacle N/A BET365 -1½ +175 SportsInteraction N/A BetOnlin-1½ +200 Bookmaker N/A

Posted at 12:00 PM EST. 

Colorado -1½ +200 over SAN DIEGO

4:10 PM EST. Austin Gomber’s (LHP - COL) 3.68/3.81 ERA/xERA split through 90 innings is completely legit. xERA does not take park factors into consideration but we do, as it is most certainly a factor. If Austin Gomber had pitched half his games anywhere beside Coors, one has to wonder what his xERA would be. It’s elite at Coors and now he’ll pitch at one of the most pitcher friendly parks in all of baseball. No questions that Gomber has been the Rockies most reliable starter. The Rocks have won five of his last six starts. Gomber was the winning pitcher in Colorado’s 12-3 win at the Angels last week in L.A. The start before that he was again effective, tossing 6 innings of 3-run ball in a Coors Field win over Seattle. His groundball rate the past two starts is 55%. No matter how you break it down, Gomber’s skills are truly legit.

On or around July 9th, the Padres promoted Reiss Knehr (RHP - SD) from Double-A after placing Blake Snell on the injured list. Knehr made his major league debut with a spot start on July 9, against Colorado and went 3.2 innings in a 4-2 San Diego win. In those 3.2 frames, Knehr walked four batters, gave up two hits and also surrendered two runs. His xERA that game was 8.93. In five frames overall, Knehr has walked six batters with a 20% groundball rate. His command will ultimately determine his future role. Knehr’s strikeout rate has fallen from 11.3 K/9 in 2019 (High-A) to 7.9 in 2021. For his minor league career, he has a 4.43 ERA, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9. Again, that was at Double-A ball so he skipped Triple-A altogether.

It’s not always about starters but this opportunity to get behind the superior starter while fading a Double-A starter at this price is one we must try and take advantage of.

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Our Pick

Colorado -1 +200 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.00)