Seattle @ L.A. ANGELS
L.A. ANGELS -1 +125 over Seattle

Pinnacle -1½ +130 BET365 -1½ +125 SportsInteraction -1½ +125 BetOnlin-1½ +125 Bookmaker -1½ +125

Posted at 2:45 PM EST. 

L.A. ANGELS -1½ +130 over Seattle

9:38 PM EST. As the second half of the season gets underway, perhaps it’s a good time to focus on overachieving (overvalued teams) and under-achieving (undervalued) teams. First up is both these teams. If you rarely look at standings (like us), you might be surprised to learn that the Mariners have a better record than not only the Angels but a better record than Yanks, Blue Jays, Indians, Braves, Phillies and Reds among others. How can that be? A lot of it is luck-driven results and it is very likely that a correction to the bad is coming for the M’s while a correction to the good is waiting for the Halos.

We’ll gladly trust Andrew Heaney (LHP - LAA) to get things rolling in the right direction. Dude has one of the day's best strikeout ratings for his home turn against the Mariners, thanks to a 28% K% and 13.5% swing & miss rate. Seattle comes in with the worst lineup in the AL based on several key offensive metrics with the real key being Seattle's lousy .651 OPS vs. LHP, which once again places them at the bottom of the AL rankings.

Chris Flexen (RHP - SEA) has been succeeding thanks to elite control (5% BB%), but over his last five games, he's added more strikeouts (22% K%, 11.7% SwK) to lower his xERA during that stretch to 3.74, including his last start, which was seven shutout innings with 6 Ks against the Angels. That one came at home, however, and this one will be on the road, and Flexen has definitely been enjoying Safeco's pitcher-friendly nature, as he's sporting a 1.76 ERA and 0.95 WHIP at home, but a 6.97 ERA and 1.74 WHIP on the road.

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Our Pick

L.A. ANGELS -1 +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)

Baltimore -1 +170 over DETROIT
Cincinnati -1 +230 over N.Y. METS
Colorado -1 +200 over SAN DIEGO