Detroit @ TEXAS
Detroit -1 +209 over TEXAS

Pinnacle -1½ +207 BET365 -1½ +165 SportsInteraction BetOnlin-1½ +200 Bookmaker -1½ +206

Posted at 2:30 PM EST. 

Detroit -1½ +209 over TEXAS

8:05 PM EST. Wily Peralta (LHP - DET) is no doubt the least exciting of Detroit's starting rotation options, but that doesn't mean the veteran doesn't have a meaningful role. When you have three green as grass high profile hurlers, a guy like Peralta, who has seen it all, can provide a steady hand. Dude signed a Triple-A deal with Detroit before the season and earned his way back to the bigs. He's made three starts since getting the call on June 15 and sports a 1-1 record with a 3.21 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Peralta may not jump off the page, but there is nothing wrong with that, as it is the overpriced Rangers that are in our sights.

Kolby Allard (LHP - TEX) made the move to the rotation after starting the year in the bully. As a starter, he's 2-4, but a tidy surface ERA of 3.46 gives him some curb appeal. A closer look shows that a high strand rate (77.9%) and a slightly below average swing and miss rate might expose some cracks. A 22-to-4 K-to-BB ratio in his last five starts looks impressive but is not likely sustainable based on his ability to induce a swing and miss in the zone. The Rangers are well on their way to losing 100 games and cannot be spotting a price like this but let’s get back to the Tigers for a sec.

Detroit is 29-22 over its last 51 games. They have won eight of 11 and it’s not like they were beating dregs. They beat the South Side, Houston, Cleveland and even swept the Yanks back in late May. They lack power but play small ball better than anyone in the league. They move guys over, they steal bases, they hit cutoff men, they bunt and they usually do all the little things right. That’s a massive edge at this extreme pitcher’s park but the Tigers are priced like they’re the Bad News Bears. Keep riding them.


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Our Pick

Detroit -1 +209 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.18)

Baltimore -1 +170 over DETROIT
Cincinnati -1 +230 over N.Y. METS
Colorado -1 +200 over SAN DIEGO
Bet at 5dimes