Pinnacle -1½ +154 B1ET365 -1½ +165 SportsInteraction N/ABetOnline -1½ +155

Posted at 12:30 AM EST. 

L.A. Angels -1½ +165 over Toronto

7:07 PM EST. TD Ballpark has never hosted a major league regular-season game, so it will be much harder to predict how the ballpark will fare but we’ll watch closely to see if any edges can be established before the market catches on. For the first game at this park, however, we’re thrilled to get the Angels at a price.

In previous years, Ross Stripling (RHP - TOR) was an oft-overlooked talent that finally got a full shot at starting last year and blew it. His breakers stopped missing bats, meaning more use of a poor fastball (1.030 OPS against). HRs flew out at an insane clip. Role uncertainty and skill erosion (specifically swing & miss rate) curb 2021 excitement, but sample size and potential regression to career levels offers a glint of hope for Jays fans but not for us. Stripling is very hittable and the Angels are swinging some pretty sweet bats right now, especially against righties.

Most of Griffin Canning’s skills took a step back after an elbow that shelved him late in 2019 still ached into the spring of 2020. At least he did finish 2020 healthy, reportedly. Watch that swing & miss rate; at 2019 levels, he's got something special, but one still has to wonder if the elbow is fully healed, and/or if it's a time bomb ready to explode. We don’t know the answer but we do know that the weight of expectations on those Blue Jays bats are starting to take a toll while L.A. is feeling it. If Canning is ready to go, Angels should win going away and if Canning is not as ready, the Halos may still win going away.

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