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Posted at 12:00 PM EST

Kansas City +144 over CHICAGO

2:10 PM EST. After just 147.2 innings in the minors, Brady Singer made it to the majors in his first attempt. Kansas City’s first round pick in 2018 is known more as a command and control, two-pitch guy, than a fireballer or a complete package. However, Singer knows how to expertly manipulate those two pitches, a sinker and slider, off of each other, and eats up right-handers in the process. There’s a whole plethora of weak contact and groundball outcomes here, alongside enough swing-and-miss to give Singer upside. The big issue remains the development of his change-up to neutralize left-handed batters. Singer had difficulty last season against lefties, with a .276/.352/.385 slash line over 257 AB versus a .222/.273/.337 line against righties. That said, Singer gets high marks for makeup and competitiveness, and there’s the requisite ink out there about how he worked on the change-up all off-season. After six starts, Dude has whiffed 27 in 30 innings to go along with a nifty groundball rate of 52%. His 5.16 ERA is higher than his 4.35 xERA and he’ll now face a White Sox team that has much worse numbers against righties than they do against southpaws.

Dylan Cease (RHP - CHW) has started six games. He has a 4-2 record to go along with his 3.13 ERA but it’s not believable. Cease has struck out a mere 22 batters in 32 frames. His first-pitch strike rate is 52% and his groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate is also weak at 34%/25%/41%. Cease has benefited greatly from an unsustainable 89% strand rate. Last season, he was called up in July with plenty of hype but his debut was a dud. Ball% says the control issues aren't going away any time soon, and while upper-90s fastball helped drive his K-rate last year, his below league-average swing and miss of 9% tempers expectations. The Royals are an undervalued squad that has lost more one-run games than any team in baseball. They’re also a very live underdog at prices like this.

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