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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. 

1:07 PM EST. The White Sox and Jays have split the first two games of this series but Toronto had just four hits in their 4-3 win on Friday and lost yesterday, 7-2. The Blue Jays anemic offense makes them great fade material when they’re favored and we’re not going to miss out here. It was so hard to play the South Side yesterday because the pitching matchup heavily favored Marcus Stroman but sometimes one has to ignore the starting matchup and just continue to fade teams that are slumping so badly. Thus, this becomes a wager on Chicago’s much better offense to beat Toronto’s very poor offense. We’ll give you the lo-down on the pitchers too, which incidentally, doesn’t even favor the Jays.

Lucas Giolito (RHP - CHW) has boosted his skills (3.59 xERA) with a 13% swing & miss rate, 43% grounders and a 60% first-pitch strike rate. His ability to miss bats bodes well against Toronto's bottom-three lineup vs. RHP. Giolito might still be viewed as a big risk given his rough 2018 season, and the fact that his early surface stats are more mediocre than impactful (4.06 ERA, 1.29 WHIP) but Giolito is posting some really good skills, as seen above. His command sub-indicators are solid and he has made good headway against LH batters, who torched him at times in 2018. This kid has filthy stuff and it’s starting to come together.

Aaron Sanchez (RHP - TOR) draws a White Sox lineup that is average vs. RHP. His lack of control and 5.4 BB’s/9 puts some speedy South Side runners on base. Sanchez’s 4.84 xERA and below-water ERA rating don't offer hope. With seven average or below below average results in eight games started in 2019, there is no value in getting behind Sanchez and the Jays but big value in fading them.

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