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Posted at 2:40 PM EST. 

7:10 PM EST. Matthew Boyd (LHP - DET) has missed more bats in the early-going than any other starter in the AL (20.2% swing & miss rate), helping to validate some of the breakout upside we saw from him heading into 2019. His overall skills have been electric due to a 36/7 K/BB in 24 innings and his 2.96 ERA would be even better if not for an unlucky 38% hit rate. He's getting two times as many whiffs on his four-seam fastball and slider than he did in 2018. Boyd is a legit ace taking back a price like he’s Bartolo Colon.

Chris Sale's dominance is well understood, boasting a 300 strikeout season in 2017, and sporting video game numbers in 27 starts last year in the form of a 2.11 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and 237 strikeouts across just 158 innings. All three of his pitches - four-seamer, slider, and changeup - returned swinging-strike rates north of 15% and induced batters to chase his pitches remarkably close to a 40% clip, which led to a ridiculous .179 BAA for those forced to face him. But here’s the biggest question: how much of Chris Sale will one get? Sale battled diminished velocity down the stretch, as the Red Sox wisely eased him back into the rotation, preparing for their World Series run. This year he has posted a 8.50 ERA with that same diminished velocity and while he’s better than that, his xERA is still 4.92. Chris Sale looks hittable and less durable and while we never encourage anyone to sell low, his market credibility combined with the team he plays for means we’re not selling low after all. This is an overlay that hopefully pays off.  

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