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Posted at 9:15 AM EST.

4:05 PM EST. Tanner Roark (RHP) has been getting deep into games and posting nice peripherals of late. He totes an xERA of 3.52 over his last four starts with outstanding command (three walks over 27 innings) to go along with 25 K’s. It gets better too. Roark has been tagged for just one jack over his last five starts. He hasn’t walked a batter over his last 14 innings. This is a starter that finished the 2017 season with a flourish and appears to be on that same path this season. Dude is dealing it right now and he’ll oppose one of MLB’s most overvalued starters that we’ve been fading since the All-Star break and are not about to let up here.

Jon Lester (LHP) has an ERA/xERA of 7.77/7.44 since the All-Star break. Over that time, covering five starts, Lester has walked 13 batters and struck out 19 over 24 innings. See those 19 K’s? He accomplished that with a 6% swing and miss rate so it’s not legit. His swing and miss rate in his last start was 3%. In fact, one could argue based on his peripherals right across the board that Jon Lester is gasping for air right now. Nothing is trending well. His batted ball profile of 38% grounders, 24% line-drives and 38% fly-balls is weak. His velocity is down. His walks are way up and his swinging strike rate is hanging by a thread. If this were an unknown name pitching for teh Cubs, the Nats would be favored based on current form of both pitchers. Obviously we have no idea what’s going to happen here but we have enough great information to make a prudent wager here and it’s not on Jon Lester. Man, is this an overlay, especially with the way the Nats are coming on. In that regard, you may want to bet Washington at 25-1 to win the World Series or 13-1 to win the NL Pennant.

PLEASE NOTE: One of the unique things about our website is that we provide write-ups every single day on every game we post. We’re not sure if everyone understands how time consuming that is and how difficult it is as well but if you do not, please try it one day and you’ll see.

That said, we’re not going to change that. We’ll have write-ups every single day like we always do but we’re also going to have another feature. You see, we post our games usually in the early afternoon or before 1:00 PM EST but there is a lot of movement and other intangibles that occur throughout the day that has influence on what we’re betting. Usually after 6:00 PM EST or thereabouts, we’re going to be adding other games that we’re betting on in a section called “add-ons” for today that we ARE NOT going to write up because it’s too time consuming and with an hour or less before the first game goes off, we just won’t have the time.

This is a feature that you will see on our home page with the other wagers and we’ll also tweet it out when our add-ons have been posted.

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