BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +180 BET365 +170 SportsInteraction +175 5DIMES +176

Posted at 10:45 AM EST.

10:05 PM EST. Felix Pena (RHP) has made just five starts this year for the Angels and he brings some appealing numbers into this start. Pena has a BB/K split of 9/32 over just 26 frames. He also has an impressive 3.42/3.26 ERA/xERA split. That’s nice, it really is but Pena is no hotshot prospect that has come out of nowhere. In fact, when Shohei Ohtani went down with a UCL sprain, the first rotation opening was initially filled by John Lamb, the former one-time Cincinnati prospect who last pitched at the MLB level in 2016. The Angels rotation became an even bigger mess when Garrett Richards also ended up on the rack. At that time, Akeel Morris, Eduardo Paredes and roday’s starter, Felix Pena were considered to be “shuttle pieces” and here we are, about a month later and Pena is priced like he’s Gerrit Cole.

Pena has appeared in 43 games over the past three years combined while pitching for both the Cubs and Angels. His career numbers are weak both above and below the surface so we’re not going to put a lot of emphasis on a small sample size this year. This is a career reliever that almost surely will not go past five innings and that’s providing everything goes swimmingly. As a member of the Cubs the previous two seasons before this one, Joe Maddon had him working in low leverage situations and then the Cubs shipped him to the Angels. Of course Pena and the Halos can win here but we’re not in the prediction business, we’re in the value business and it’s the White Sox that are offering up all that sweet value here.

Biceps bursitis shelved Carlos Rodon (LHP) until late June last year and then that same injury finished his season in early September. In between, Rodon flashed a big strikeout rate and improving control along with five straight two-runs-or-less starts through late August until he was shelved again. Resulting surgery had him out until mid-June this season and he has started seven games since. Rodon is coming off his best start of the season, a great start where he struck out seven Cardinals and didn’t allow a run through 7.1 innings of three-hit ball. The start before that, he made the Astros look like the Marlins. Right-handed batters have not found success against him this season, as they have a .208 BAA and .656 OPS. The opposing Angels have a poor .664 OPS versus left-handed pitching and are only averaging 3.3 runs per game in July. This is without question one of the biggest overlays of the season and while that doesn’t mean it’s going to win, it does mean that it must be played if we’re sticking to value. Carlos Rodon is a legit potential ace.

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.