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Posted at 9:30 AM EST.

8:40 PM EST. We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing all of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long:

Zach Godley (RHP) ranks among this season’s biggest disappointments. Pegged as a potential breakout by many publications, Godley owns a 5.12 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP and he has been especially bad of late, posting a 7.04 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP across his past six starts and the Rockies lead the National League in OPS at home (.795) this season. Uh-oh, but remember, this is Coors Field where the unusual happens all the time.

Kyle Freeland (LHP) is 6-5 after 12 starts with a very respectable and almost elite 3.48 ERA. He also has eight pure quality starts. Freeland has a BB/K split of 22/62 in 72 frames but his swing and miss rate of 8% says balls are being hit right at people. Freeland has been very good and his stock continues to rise. Last year we noted that the development of a reliable third pitch would be crucial in determining Freeland’s future role. His cutter has done the heavy lifting this year with a 48% strikeout rate and 30% chase rate, up from 13% and 23% last year. 

Year to date: 11-15 +21.00 Units

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