Colorado @ L.A. DODGERS
L.A. DODGERS -1½ +153 over Colorado

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Posted at 11:15 AM EST

10:10 PM EST. We faded the Rockies last night in the opener of this series and ended up ripping up our ticket after the Rockies pulled off a 2-1 victory. That’s not going to deter us from coming right back against them here. True to form, the Rocks mustered three hits the entire game and scored twice, which is precisely what we were preaching yesterday. Colorado’s winning ways on the road is in line for a massive correction because its offense is putrid. Frankly, we could not care who the starter is for the Dodgers but for information purposes, it will be little known Brock Stewart (RHP). Stewart went 0-0 with a 3.41 ERA in 34 innings for the Dodgers last year and is 0-0 this year after six relief innings. This former third-baseman was set back early last season by shoulder tendinitis then built up frequent flyer miles with five round trips between AAA Oklahoma City and L.A. Stewart began 2016 in High-A and quickly moved his way up the ladder by mixing his pitches and continuing to post high K rates at each level. The tall, athletic righty has a very fresh arm, he was drafted in the 6th round in 2014 despite not seeing much mound time in college. The Dodgers were intrigued with his pure arm strength and athleticism and have seen him bypass several other arms in the system. Despite the lack of mileage on his arm, he has outstanding command of a three pitch arsenal. He can run his fastball into the 91-96 mph range and he mixes in a hard slider. Stewart throws with some effort in his delivery and while it may not be textbook, he throws good strikes to all quadrants of the zone. There's palpable upside here and Colorado could make anyone look like Sandy Koufax, especially someone they have never seen before.

Chad Bettis (RHP) draws the matchup against Stewart and brings a strong 3.27 ERA, but a 4.64 xERA and ugly underlying skills indicate that he's been more lucky than skillful. Bettis has gotten outstanding results away from Coors Field, with a 1.83 ERA in six starts, which has market influence but again, this combo of Bettis and Colorado on the road is about as misleading as it gets. Both are horrible. Bettis has posted a shiny ERA and WHIP in the early stages of 2018, but his hit%/strand% figure to regress at some point and when they do, his surface stats will blow up. Barring adjustments, the shoddy underlying skills and lost velocity paint a rather gloomy picture for Bettis and he’ll remain high on our fade list because of it.

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Our Pick

L.A. DODGERS -1½ +153 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.06)

Chicago -103 over Boston