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Posted at 11:45 AM EST.

8:40 PM EST. We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing all of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long:

Here are the pitching notes on today's two starters:

Jhoulys Chacin (RHP) is a risk to be sure but we’re not playing pitchers with this angle. He knows Coors well from pitching here for years as a member of the Rockies. This journeyman appeared to take a sizable step forward in 2017, but xERA and skills were actually a carbon-copy of 2016. The only real change is that he was much more consistent in 2017. While disaster avoidance is nice, this is a run-of-the-mill skill set that comes with some implicit peril.

Make no mistake that German Marquez is the superior starter here so we're not going to sugarcoat this in the least. Marquez Looked gassed at the end of last season Sept (5.28 ERA, 23% hr/f), but his skills are trending the right way with jacks the only issue for him and he has been very good over his last 15 starts combined at Coors. His plus velocity never wavered last year and hasn't this year either. His broad repertoire is a plus and the seeds of a workhorse with good results have been planted.

Year to date: 7-7 +18.00 Units

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