Pinnacle    +190     BET365  +190   Sportsinteraction  +190  888port  +190

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

DELAWARE +190 ML over Louisiana Tech

Delaware Stadium – Newark, DE

3:00 PM ET. Louisiana Tech remains one of the hottest teams in the betting market this season. The Bulldogs are 6–2 against the spread, fresh off a 55–14 demolition of Sam Houston State as a 17-point favorite. Which isn’t saying much. But there is context to justify this week’s number. The market sees LA Tech winning by 41 and instinctively decides they should roll again. That’s the hook.

Delaware, meanwhile, is sitting at 2–5 ATS and got hammered last weekend at Liberty, 59–30, as a three-point underdog. Their stock is in the basement. And when one team’s stock is soaring while the other's is buried under rubble, that’s where buy-low, sell-high opportunities reveal themselves.

The opening line told the truth. Delaware opened just a 4.5-point underdog — a number that conjures a double take. If Louisiana Tech was as automatic as last week’s scoreboard suggests, why didn’t this number open at seven? Nine? Double digits? Instead, LA Tech is laying only a hair more than what they were laying to Sam Houston State, one of the weakest programs in FBS, despite facing a Delaware team with significantly more competitive DNA.

The market hammered LA Tech anyway, moving the number only into an underdog-friendly range. But think about that:

-          LA Tech won by 41 as a 17-point favorite.

-          Delaware lost by 29 as a three-point dog.

-          Yet the Bulldogs are spotting an unconverted touchdown here which is a live dog price.

It makes no sense — unless the oddsmakers are warning you that LA Tech is overvalued, and Delaware is live. Which we can infer. Moreover, we’ve already seen Louisiana Tech flounder in this role previously. Look no further than their matchup with Kennesaw State last month — a game in which the Bulldogs were exposed as an unreliable favorite. When LA Tech is taking points, they can punch upward. When laying them, they become fragile. This is that same scenario.

Delaware is in the exact sweet spot we look for: undervalued, ignored, forgotten, and priced in a manner that signals they are not showing up as cannon fodder. We’ll take the Hens to win outright.

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