Arkansas @ LSU
LSU +126 over Arkansas

Pinnacl+126 BET365 +125 SportInteraction +125 BetOnlin+125 Bookmaker +125

Posted at 10:45 AM EST.

LSU +126 over Arkansas

Tiger Stadium – Baton Rouge, LA

Streaming: SEC Network

7:30 PM EST. In recent memory, there may not have been a steeper fall from grace in terms of a team going from their pinnacle to the cellar in a short period of time like the LSU Tigers. Think about it, two years ago to the day, LSU was the top-ranked team in America, spearheaded by a shoe-in Heisman Trophy winner, as pretty much all were ready to crown the Bayou Bengals as National Champs at this point in 2019. Fast forward two years later and the Tigers have already made it known that they will be parting ways with the Crawfish Captain that got them there, Coach Ed Orgeron, at the end of 2021. To quote Shakespeare “There is a tide to the affairs of men” and seemingly the Tiger program has been swept up in the undertow.

In 2020, LSU put together a losing campaign and right now as it stands the Tigers from Louisiana State University are 4-5 on the season. Given the “what you have done for me lately” mantra, a sentiment that surrounds the betting market, the Tigers still have minimal market presence compared to their counterpart and this is after LSU gave Alabama a game last week in T-Town as a 29½-point underdog. This much is evident in the very pricing in this game.

LSU, a dog in Death Valley? At night? The very notion seems like an insult to anyone and everything that bleeds purple and gold. And you can bet that Coach O and the rest of the Tiger faithful will be using this as bulletin board material in preparation for a rivalry game with Arkansas.

Does Arkansas even deserve to be spotting points on the road? They’ve played two games on the road this season in hostile environments, first in Athens against the Dawgs and got whacked (37-0). They were a five-point underdog at Ole Miss but did not win in a 52-51 heartbreaker. Death Valley at night is about as tough as it gets.

While Arkansas has failed to cover their last two matches (three if one counts the Arkansas-Pine Bluff scandal that voided a litany of losing Razorback tickets), they nonetheless have more respect from the market since they are once again ranked in the College Football Playoff rankings (#25) and own some high-profile wins against Texas, Texas A&M (#11 in the CFP rankings and the team that beat Bama), and remain a feel-good story of 2021, as their program has clawed its way out of the doldrums as opposed to LSU, who is now widely regarded as a team heading for rebuild mode. Arkansas has won their last two games overall while LSU has dropped their last two contests.

Arkansas is also 6-2 ATS in the last eight in Baton Rouge and they are 10-4 against the number in the preceding 14 contests. Market is placing stock in these trends as well. Given the buy-in from the players on this team to play for their coach in his last ride, it is safe to conclude that the Tigers are looking to extend their season past Thanksgiving weekend. Wrong side favored and to add a little cherry, we also have a ranked side spotting a short number, which the market wrongly eats up.

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Our Pick

LSU +126 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.52)