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Posted at 10:30 AM EST

UCF -7½ over GEORGIA TECH

Streaming Subscribers: On several ABC stations in Local Channels Group

Bobby Dodd Stadium -Atlanta, GA

3:30 PM EST. The Georgia Institute of Technology staged an outright upset of Florida State in Tallahassee last Saturday when they defeated the Seminoles 16-13 despite closing as a 13-point underdog. The defeat of the ‘Noles for a team as maligned as the Yellow Jackets have stirred a whole bunch of commotion, as it was one of Week 2’s most impressionable results. To add to last week’s resonating win over FSU, the books have hung a hook on the Yellow Jackets, thus giving them more appeal. Big red flag, my friends.

The 7½-point spot is enticing because it cultivates the guise of an easy cover for the dog should it lose by a converted touchdown. However, in many instances, the converted touchdown never ends up becoming a bargaining chip because the pooch usually isn’t even in striking distance. Last Sunday’s meeting between Baltimore and Cleveland serves as an apt demonstration of how potent -7½-point favorites can be, as they absolutely sandbagged the Brownies. That is just one example of many. There is a strong possibility that a similar scenario awaits the Jackets.

UCF is a step up in class for Georgia Tech not a step-down and we really don’t care about Florida State’s reputation or the fact that they reside in the ACC. Central Florida arguably is the best team in the state of Florida at the present moment and their credentials speak for itself. The 2019-20 campaign served as a correction year for UCF, as they covered just three times in their last 10 outings.

Though UCF is a small school, it is nonetheless fierce. It is essentially the Seabiscuit of College Football. This is a program with a culture of winning, a team that has won a BCS Bowl, New Year’s Six Bowl, being declared a National Champion in an alternative poll, and had a winning-streak that extended into a third-season though it only plays in the lowly American Athletic Conference. Last year was an “off year” for Josh Heupel and company and still the Knights won 10 games. We can assure you that Georgia Tech defeating Florida State last week did not help its cause. If anything it hindered it, as it will prompt Central Florida to pay even more attention to this underdog. After just three covers in its last 10 games combined with GT’s win over FSU last week, this is now the perfect time to get on board with the Knights before their stock soars again. Remember, GT was a 13-point dog last week and that outright win activates some strong recency bias. We’re now the beneficiaries of a deflated number. Step in.

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